# Argentina soybean exports forecast to rise | World Grain

> The USDA FAS forecasts Argentina will export 8.2 million tonnes of soybeans in the current year, up 5% and the highest since 2019-20. China has shifted purchases to Brazil and Argentina, and recently agreed to resume US soybean imports, pledging 12 million tonnes this year and 25 million annually for three years. Argentina's export tax on soybeans was cut 2 points to 24%, which FAS does not expect to materially change planting.

- Date: 2026-01-13 · published 2026-01-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13812-argentina-soybean-exports-forecast-to-rise-world-grain
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Stronger Argentine export flows add supply to global soymeal and oil markets, while renewed China purchases of US beans support the US soybean complex and reduce Argentina's export advantage.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SBO: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-04-21 | [Report: China halts US corn, soybean orders \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14669-report-china-halts-us-corn-soybean-orders-world-grain.md) | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2025-09-30 | [Argentina’s soybeans are rewriting the trade story \| World Ports Organization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23077-argentina-s-soybeans-are-rewriting-the-trade-story-world-ports-organization.md) | +0.7% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2020-11-30 | [China September Soybean Imports Ease \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50150-china-september-soybean-imports-ease-feed-and-grain.md) | -2.4% | +5.3% |
| SOY | 2019-06-28 | [US-China trade tensions hurt Argentine soybean exports - Chinadaily.com.cn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58439-us-china-trade-tensions-hurt-argentine-soybean-exports-chinadaily-com-cn.md) | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| SOY | 2026-01-30 | [China Turns to South America for Soybeans as U.S. Corn, Sorghum Exports Gain Momentum - RFD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21112-china-turns-to-south-america-for-soybeans-as-u-s-corn-sorghum-exports-gain.md) | +3.7% | +7.9% |
| SBM | 2018-12-05 | [Argentina soybean imports soaring \| 2018-12-05  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61426-argentina-soybean-imports-soaring-2018-12-05-world-grain.md) | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| SBM | 2024-03-25 | [Argentina soymeal exports set to rise \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13933-argentina-soymeal-exports-set-to-rise-latest-market-news.md) | -2.4% | +1.0% |
| SBM | 2026-10-21 | [Argentina plans to increase soybean crush and exports in 2026/27](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13773-argentina-plans-to-increase-soybean-crush-and-exports-in-2026-27.md) | -3.1% | — |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/22279-argentina-soybean-exports-forecast-to-rise

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.