# BAGE forecasts Argentina’s soybean crop at 53.6 mln tons

> BAGE forecasts Argentina's 2026/27 soybean crop at 53.6 million tons, 3.5 million above the previous season's 50.1 million. Planted area could rise to 17 million hectares, supported by crushing demand and corn leafhopper risks.

- Date: 2026-09-30 · published 2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13774-bage-forecasts-argentina-s-soybean-crop-at-53-6-mln-tons
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Argentine crop would add to global soybean supply and ease oilseed tightness, which is bearish for soy complex prices. The forecast sits well above USDA (50 million) and Rosario (47.8 million), so it is a notable outlier.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SBO: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-11-27 | [Argentina’s soybean area updated while wheat output forecast at 17.6 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13892-argentina-s-soybean-area-updated-while-wheat-output-forecast-at-17-6-million.md) | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| SOY | 2024-08-12 | [USDA Forecasts Record Soybean Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28713-usda-forecasts-record-soybean-crop.md) | -8.7% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2026-06-11 | [Argentina grain exchange raises soybean crop forecast as harvest progresses](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13793-argentina-grain-exchange-raises-soybean-crop-forecast-as-harvest-progresses.md) | +0.8% | +6.5% |
| SOY | 2025-03-17 | [Argentina’s soybean crop stabilizes \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13876-argentina-s-soybean-crop-stabilizes-world-grain.md) | +1.1% | +4.4% |
| SOY | 2025-02-27 | [USDA Forecasts Record Corn Crop, Larger Soybean Crop for 2025-26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13114-usda-forecasts-record-corn-crop-larger-soybean-crop-for-2025-26.md) | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| SBM | 2024-11-27 | [Argentina’s soybean area updated while wheat output forecast at 17.6 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13892-argentina-s-soybean-area-updated-while-wheat-output-forecast-at-17-6-million.md) | -0.4% | +4.2% |
| SBM | 2024-08-12 | [USDA Forecasts Record Soybean Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28713-usda-forecasts-record-soybean-crop.md) | -6.5% | -2.3% |
| SBM | 2026-06-11 | [Argentina grain exchange raises soybean crop forecast as harvest progresses](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13793-argentina-grain-exchange-raises-soybean-crop-forecast-as-harvest-progresses.md) | +0.1% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/bage-forecasts-argentinas-soybean-crop-at-53-6-mln-tons/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.