# Argentina’s soy production grows under super El Niño | World Grain

> Argentina's 2026-27 soybean estimate was raised eight percent from the prior forecast to 52.5 million tonnes, citing expected excellent yields under a developing super El Niño. Most added soybean area is expected to come at the expense of corn, particularly in the north, partly due to corn stunt disease.

- Date: 2026-10-12 · published 2026-10-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13772-argentina-s-soy-production-grows-under-super-el-nino-world-grain
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Argentine soybean crop and shift of acreage away from corn increase soymeal supply and ease soy prices, while reduced corn plantings support corn prices. The El Niño weather pattern is a key driver of expected yields.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-02-20 | [Rainfall Prevents Drop in Soybean Productivity in Argentina](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13807-rainfall-prevents-drop-in-soybean-productivity-in-argentina.md) | +0.6% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2023-05-16 | [U.S. weather, Brazilian production slashes grain prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5014-u-s-weather-brazilian-production-slashes-grain-prices.md) | -4.2% | -0.1% |
| SOY | 2023-01-18 | [Rain potential in Argentina sends corn, soybeans lower - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10661-rain-potential-in-argentina-sends-corn-soybeans-lower-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -3.3% | -0.1% |
| SOY | 2017-02-19 | [Argentina corn, soy in good condition after rain - analysts - Jamestown Sun \| News, weather, sports from Jamestown North Dakota](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72337-argentina-corn-soy-in-good-condition-after-rain-analysts-jamestown-sun-news.md) | -2.1% | -3.2% |
| SOY | 2019-02-18 | [Argentina's soy harvest unscathed by heavy rainfall - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60439-argentina-s-soy-harvest-unscathed-by-heavy-rainfall-datamarnews.md) | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| SBM | 2026-02-20 | [Rainfall Prevents Drop in Soybean Productivity in Argentina](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13807-rainfall-prevents-drop-in-soybean-productivity-in-argentina.md) | +5.3% | +9.4% |
| SBM | 2023-01-18 | [Rain potential in Argentina sends corn, soybeans lower - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10661-rain-potential-in-argentina-sends-corn-soybeans-lower-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -3.9% | +3.0% |
| SBM | 2017-02-19 | [Argentina corn, soy in good condition after rain - analysts - Jamestown Sun \| News, weather, sports from Jamestown North Dakota](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72337-argentina-corn-soy-in-good-condition-after-rain-analysts-jamestown-sun-news.md) | -2.5% | -3.8% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/23319-argentinas-soy-production-grows-under-super-el-nino

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.