# Conab Warns of Potential Moisture Deficits in Brazil

> Conab's December crop report warned that 2022/23 soybean and corn yields could be hurt by below-normal rainfall in central, east-central and southern Brazil during December through February. Below-normal rain is forecast for parts of central Brazil, southwestern Mato Grosso do Sul and Rio Grande do Sul. The article notes that the rainy season peak normally supplies enough moisture, so timing and heat matter most.

- Date: 2022-12-14 · published 2022-12-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13680-conab-warns-of-potential-moisture-deficits-in-brazil
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A possible moisture deficit during the pod-filling period could cut Brazilian soybean and corn output, supporting prices for both crops. The risk depends on rainfall timing, so the impact is uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2020-11-30 | [Rainfall Deficit in Brazil Continues to Be a Major Concern](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50004-rainfall-deficit-in-brazil-continues-to-be-a-major-concern.md) | -2.4% | +5.3% |
| SOY | 2018-05-25 | [Dry Potential in Midwest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64877-dry-potential-in-midwest.md) | -1.4% | -13.6% |
| SOY | 2025-01-01 | [A Dual Threat: Potential Excessive Rain in Brazil and Dryness in Argentina](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13529-a-dual-threat-potential-excessive-rain-in-brazil-and-dryness-in-argentina.md) | -1.1% | +4.6% |
| SOY | 2025-09-10 | [Low Soil Moisture in Mato Grosso May Delay Start of Soy Planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13476-low-soil-moisture-in-mato-grosso-may-delay-start-of-soy-planting.md) | +3.8% | +1.0% |
| SOY | 2022-12-14 | [Concerns over Argentine soybean crop raises meal prices in Brazil - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38321-concerns-over-argentine-soybean-crop-raises-meal-prices-in-brazil-datamarnews.md) | -0.1% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2023-05-24 | [Late Planted Safrinha Corn in Brazil in need of Additional Moisture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13645-late-planted-safrinha-corn-in-brazil-in-need-of-additional-moisture.md) | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2022-04-29 | [Central Brazil Running Out of Soil Moisture Early](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13725-central-brazil-running-out-of-soil-moisture-early.md) | -7.1% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2021-05-13 | [Soil Moisture Running Short in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46928-soil-moisture-running-short-in-brazil.md) | -7.7% | -2.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/conab-warns-of-potential-moisture-deficits-in-brazil/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.