# Rain Not Enough for Brazil's Safrinha Corn Crop Yet

> Brazil's rainfall has followed an El Nino pattern, with below-normal precipitation across most of the country, especially central Brazil. Subsoil moisture is well below normal, threatening the safrinha second-season corn crop that depends on it.

- Date: 2024-02-15 · published 2024-02-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13590-rain-not-enough-for-brazil-s-safrinha-corn-crop-yet
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Poor subsoil moisture raises the risk of low safrinha corn yields, tightening Brazilian corn export supply and supporting corn prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-03-31 | [Long-Range Concerns for Safrinha Corn in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13732-long-range-concerns-for-safrinha-corn-in-brazil.md) | +4.1% | +5.9% |
| CORN | 2026-01-30 | [Soil Moisture Not Where It Needs to Be for Brazil's Coming Safrinha Corn Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13453-soil-moisture-not-where-it-needs-to-be-for-brazil-s-coming-safrinha-corn-crop.md) | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2023-01-25 | [Brazil’s Safrinha Corn 1% Planted](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13671-brazil-s-safrinha-corn-1-planted.md) | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2024-03-13 | [Soil Moisture Inadequate for Brazil's Safrinha Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13584-soil-moisture-inadequate-for-brazil-s-safrinha-corn.md) | +1.5% | -5.0% |
| CORN | 2022-02-25 | [March Forecast Difficult for Safrinha Corn in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13739-march-forecast-difficult-for-safrinha-corn-in-brazil.md) | +6.6% | +10.3% |
| SOY | 2021-01-28 | [Early Safrinha Season Outlook in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48973-early-safrinha-season-outlook-in-brazil.md) | -0.3% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2023-01-27 | [Watching Northwest/North Brazil Second Corn Crop for Drought Risk - Climate Impact Company](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13674-watching-northwest-north-brazil-second-corn-crop-for-drought-risk-climate.md) | +0.7% | +0.4% |
| SOY | 2026-08-18 | [Brazil crop concerns could provide support for U.S. Corn - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13424-brazil-crop-concerns-could-provide-support-for-u-s-corn-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +1.2% | +9.8% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/blogs/south-america-calling/blog-post/2024/02/15/rain-enough-brazils-safrinha-corn

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.