# A Dual Threat: Potential Excessive Rain in Brazil and Dryness in Argentina

> Forecast models show heavy rain possible in parts of Brazil, including up to 12 inches in northern São Paulo, while Argentina faces dryness. USDA projects Brazil's 2024/25 soybean crop at 169 million metric tons, up 16 million from last year.

- Date: 2025-01-01 · published 2025-01-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13529-a-dual-threat-potential-excessive-rain-in-brazil-and-dryness-in-argentina
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Excess rain could delay Brazilian harvesting and planting, adding weather risk to a record crop, while Argentine dryness threatens soybean and corn output. Net effect supports prices if the weather disrupts supply.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-12-19 | [Heat and Dryness in Southern Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61424-heat-and-dryness-in-southern-brazil.md) | -4.2% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2023-02-17 | [Weather factors in South America: Drought in Argentina and excess rainfall in Brazil weigh on markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13669-weather-factors-in-south-america-drought-in-argentina-and-excess-rainfall-in.md) | +0.2% | -3.3% |
| SOY | 2026-01-23 | [Argentina Dryness Continues to Expand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13814-argentina-dryness-continues-to-expand.md) | +0.8% | +6.9% |
| SOY | 2020-03-31 | [Ongoing drought in Brazil, Argentina threatens crucial crop harvests - UPI.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53981-ongoing-drought-in-brazil-argentina-threatens-crucial-crop-harvests-upi-com.md) | -3.0% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2024-12-18 | [Heat, dryness expected in Brazil \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26868-heat-dryness-expected-in-brazil-world-grain.md) | -0.2% | +4.3% |
| CORN | 2023-02-17 | [Weather factors in South America: Drought in Argentina and excess rainfall in Brazil weigh on markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13669-weather-factors-in-south-america-drought-in-argentina-and-excess-rainfall-in.md) | -1.6% | -4.3% |
| CORN | 2026-01-23 | [Argentina Dryness Continues to Expand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13814-argentina-dryness-continues-to-expand.md) | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2020-03-31 | [Ongoing drought in Brazil, Argentina threatens crucial crop harvests - UPI.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53981-ongoing-drought-in-brazil-argentina-threatens-crucial-crop-harvests-upi-com.md) | -2.6% | -11.2% |

## Sources

- agriculture.com: https://www.agriculture.com/a-dual-threat-potential-excessive-rain-in-brazil-and-dryness-in-argentina-8765068

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.