# Rabobank details possible agriculture difficulties during 2025 | MEAT+POULTRY

> Rabobank's Agri Commodity Markets Outlook 2025, released Dec. 17, warns that new US tariff disputes under the incoming Trump administration could target imports from China, Mexico and Canada. It also flags possible Chinese retaliation against US soybean exports, reduced Ukrainian grain output and a weak La Niña.

- Date: 2024-12-26 · published 2024-12-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13527-rabobank-details-possible-agriculture-difficulties-during-2025-meat-poultry
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Tariffs and retaliation would cut US soybean export demand and pressure farm margins, which is bearish for soybeans and related meal. Prospective trade disruption adds downside risk to grain and oilseed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2019-12-13 | [U.S. agriculture wary of Trump's China sales pledge, more meat a must](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55444-u-s-agriculture-wary-of-trump-s-china-sales-pledge-more-meat-a-must.md) | +2.9% | +3.5% |
| SOY | 2018-03-23 | [Trade Conflict Hits Agriculture Commodities - WSJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65863-trade-conflict-hits-agriculture-commodities-wsj.md) | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| SOY | 2021-08-17 | [CRA Food & Agriculture Trade Update – August 17, 2021 - DocsLib](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45416-cra-food-and-agriculture-trade-update-august-17-2021-docslib.md) | -6.0% | -7.2% |
| SOY | 2024-07-15 | [China buys first US soybeans of 2024 crop season \| Agriculture Dive](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29284-china-buys-first-us-soybeans-of-2024-crop-season-agriculture-dive.md) | -3.3% | -9.4% |
| SOY | 2019-09-05 | [Retaliatory Tariffs and U.S. Agriculture - EveryCRSReport.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57078-retaliatory-tariffs-and-u-s-agriculture-everycrsreport-com.md) | -1.0% | +5.9% |
| CORN | 2026-06-16 | [US, Mexican officials to discuss agriculture, energy as Trump casts doubt on trade deal \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18755-us-mexican-officials-to-discuss-agriculture-energy-as-trump-casts-doubt-on.md) | -0.8% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2018-03-23 | [Trade Conflict Hits Agriculture Commodities - WSJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65863-trade-conflict-hits-agriculture-commodities-wsj.md) | +1.9% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2021-08-17 | [CRA Food & Agriculture Trade Update – August 17, 2021 - DocsLib](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45416-cra-food-and-agriculture-trade-update-august-17-2021-docslib.md) | -2.8% | -11.4% |

## Sources

- meatpoultry.com: https://www.meatpoultry.com/articles/31247-rabobank-details-possible-agriculture-difficulties-during-2025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.