# Why U.S. Farmers Should Monitor Brazil’s Safrinha Corn Crop — CODAK Risk Advisory

> CODAK notes Brazil's safrinha corn is nearly 70% of its annual corn output and received about 5.1 inches of late-April rain. The 14-day outlook calls for below-average rain and above-normal temperatures, and the crop's NDVI is 0.72. Analysts expect crop ratings to slip if the dry, hot pattern persists.

- Date: 2025-04-30 · published 2025-04-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13503-why-u-s-farmers-should-monitor-brazil-s-safrinha-corn-crop-codak-risk-advisory
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A drier, hotter forecast could cut safrinha yields and support corn prices, but current crop health limits the immediate upside.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-02-15 | [Rain Not Enough for Brazil's Safrinha Corn Crop Yet](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13590-rain-not-enough-for-brazil-s-safrinha-corn-crop-yet.md) | +0.3% | +4.4% |
| CORN | 2026-01-30 | [Soil Moisture Not Where It Needs to Be for Brazil's Coming Safrinha Corn Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13453-soil-moisture-not-where-it-needs-to-be-for-brazil-s-coming-safrinha-corn-crop.md) | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2023-02-10 | [Is It Time to Start Worrying About Brazil's Safrinha Corn Crop?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13667-is-it-time-to-start-worrying-about-brazil-s-safrinha-corn-crop.md) | -0.6% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2024-03-13 | [Soil Moisture Inadequate for Brazil's Safrinha Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13584-soil-moisture-inadequate-for-brazil-s-safrinha-corn.md) | +1.5% | -5.0% |
| CORN | 2023-01-25 | [Brazil’s Safrinha Corn 1% Planted](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13671-brazil-s-safrinha-corn-1-planted.md) | -0.2% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- codakgroup.com: https://www.codakgroup.com/blog/monitor-brazil-safrinha-corn-crop

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.