# Record harvest of safrinha corn in Brazil

> AgRural raised its forecast for Brazil's 2024/25 corn production to 130.6 million tonnes, with the safrinha crop estimated at a record 103.4 million tonnes. Harvest in central-southern Brazil was 18% complete, well behind the prior year's pace, and frost and rain complicated field operations and loss assessments.

- Date: 2025-07-03 · published 2025-07-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13483-record-harvest-of-safrinha-corn-in-brazil
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [DDGS](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DDGS.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Brazilian safrinha crop adds export supply that competes with US corn in the second half of the year, which is bearish for corn and related feed prices. Delayed harvest and frost-related quality concerns partly offset this pressure.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- DDGS: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-07-10 | 5 | -6.0% | -2.8 | AgRural's raised record Brazil safrinha corn forecast (103.4 Mt) points to heavier export competition and bearish global supply sentiment. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-08-08 | [Safrinha Corn in Brazil 87.3% Harvested](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13554-safrinha-corn-in-brazil-87-3-harvested.md) | -0.2% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2022-07-01 | [Despite Drought Brazil On Track to Harvest Record Safrinha Corn Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13714-despite-drought-brazil-on-track-to-harvest-record-safrinha-corn-crop.md) | +3.4% | -13.7% |
| CORN | 2017-04-06 | [Brazil To Harvest Record Corn And Soybean Yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71350-brazil-to-harvest-record-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | +0.6% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2026-05-15 | [Brazil raises forecast for record harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13434-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-harvest.md) | +1.2% | -7.4% |
| CORN | 2025-07-11 | [Brazil raises forecast for record grain harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13484-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-grain-harvest.md) | -0.7% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/record-harvest-of-safrinha-corn-in-brazil/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.