# Climate scenario is more favorable for the 2025/26 harvest - Cultivar Magazine

> Nottus Consulting forecasts a more favorable and less extreme climate for Brazil's 2025/26 harvest, citing persistent cold waters in the Equatorial Pacific that do not amount to a strong La Niña. Regional outlooks show good soil moisture in the south after spring rains.

- Date: 2025-10-06 · published 2025-10-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13465-climate-scenario-is-more-favorable-for-the-2025-26-harvest-cultivar-magazine
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A milder weather outlook reduces the risk of large crop losses versus the prior drought-hit season, which is mildly bearish for soybean and corn prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-11-22 | [Climate favors first harvest in Brazil, reports Conab - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13532-climate-favors-first-harvest-in-brazil-reports-conab-cultivar-magazine.md) | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| SOY | 2017-03-14 | [Rain distribution favored soybean harvest in Mato Grosso - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71828-rain-distribution-favored-soybean-harvest-in-mato-grosso-revista-cultivar.md) | +0.3% | -5.5% |
| SOY | 2017-02-23 | [Favorable Brazil Harvest Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72329-favorable-brazil-harvest-weather.md) | +1.8% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2018-07-12 | [Climate bulletin predicts greater disease pressure in the second half of the year - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63883-climate-bulletin-predicts-greater-disease-pressure-in-the-second-half-of-the.md) | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| SOY | 2025-08-27 | [La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23244-la-nada-no-problem-weather-outlook-for-2025-harvest-and-beyond-farmer-mac.md) | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-11-22 | [Climate favors first harvest in Brazil, reports Conab - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13532-climate-favors-first-harvest-in-brazil-reports-conab-cultivar-magazine.md) | -2.0% | +2.8% |
| CORN | 2026-08-31 | [Dry weather favors corn and cotton harvest in Brazil - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13423-dry-weather-favors-corn-and-cotton-harvest-in-brazil-cultivar-magazine.md) | -0.3% | +2.6% |
| CORN | 2018-03-29 | [2nd harvest is favored in MT and MS - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65845-2nd-harvest-is-favored-in-mt-and-ms-revista-cultivar.md) | +4.8% | +4.9% |

## Sources

- revistacultivar.com: https://revistacultivar.com/news/climate-scenario-is-more-favorable-for-the-2025-harvest-26

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.