# Central Brazil Soybeans at Risk With Continued Dry Weather

> Central Brazil producers are planting soybeans far ahead of schedule after early-season rains, with Mato Grosso planting at 15% by October 3 versus a five-year average of about 6%. Dry weather since then has allowed progress to continue, but the crop is at risk if rains do not arrive quickly.

- Date: 2025-10-03 · published 2025-10-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13464-central-brazil-soybeans-at-risk-with-continued-dry-weather
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Fast planting shortens the window for double-cropping safrinha corn, and any delay in rain could cut soybean yields, supporting soybean and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-08-26 | [Hot and Dry Weather Forecast for Central Brazil's Planting Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13550-hot-and-dry-weather-forecast-for-central-brazil-s-planting-season.md) | +3.2% | +9.2% |
| SOY | 2018-12-04 | [Wet Weather in Central Brazil a Cause for Concern](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61504-wet-weather-in-central-brazil-a-cause-for-concern.md) | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2022-07-28 | [Soybeans continue to climb on weather concerns - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8747-soybeans-continue-to-climb-on-weather-concerns-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +0.4% | -3.5% |
| SOY | 2019-01-18 | [Soybeans Close Higher as Hot Weather Persists in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12390-soybeans-close-higher-as-hot-weather-persists-in-brazil.md) | +1.9% | -0.0% |
| SOY | 2019-01-03 | [Dry weather conditions in Brazil drive US soybean expectations up - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60944-dry-weather-conditions-in-brazil-drive-us-soybean-expectations-up-datamarnews.md) | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2019-01-03 | [Dry weather conditions in Brazil drive US soybean expectations up - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60944-dry-weather-conditions-in-brazil-drive-us-soybean-expectations-up-datamarnews.md) | +1.6% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2023-08-15 | [Soybeans down despite dry weather concerns - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5617-soybeans-down-despite-dry-weather-concerns-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -0.9% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2019-02-06 | [Brazil, Argentina Crop Weather Update](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60441-brazil-argentina-crop-weather-update.md) | +0.7% | -1.1% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/Ag/blogs/south-america-calling/blog-post/2025/10/03/central-brazil-soybeans-risk-dry

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.