# Brazilian production uncertainties mount - Pro Farmer

> Official and private forecasters expect another record Brazilian soybean crop in 2026, but weather is uncertain as La Niña strengthens. Conab forecasts 2025/26 soybean output at 177.6 million tonnes and corn at 138.2 million tonnes, down 1%. Brazil's record 2024/25 soybean exports were about 112 million tonnes.

- Date: 2025-11-06 · published 2025-11-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13461-brazilian-production-uncertainties-mount-pro-farmer
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A large expected Brazilian crop caps prices and keeps export competition strong, but weather risk could still shift the balance toward tighter supply.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -6.5% | -6.0% |
| SOY | 2022-12-12 | [Brazil producers hope for rain as soybean planting nears end](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13678-brazil-producers-hope-for-rain-as-soybean-planting-nears-end.md) | -0.3% | +1.8% |
| SOY | 2017-08-16 | [Potential for canola prices to rise on the back of negative Canadian production outlook  \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69552-potential-for-canola-prices-to-rise-on-the-back-of-negative-canadian-production.md) | +1.3% | +3.4% |
| SOY | 2023-06-29 | [Soybean Production and Demand Are Up in the Air](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35544-soybean-production-and-demand-are-up-in-the-air.md) | +5.2% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2026-04-12 | [Brazil Soybean Harvest Nears Completion \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13442-brazil-soybean-harvest-nears-completion-red-river-farm-network.md) | -0.7% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -4.6% | -10.8% |
| CORN | 2023-05-23 | [Brazilian Corn Producers Worried About Dry Weather, Low Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13648-brazilian-corn-producers-worried-about-dry-weather-low-prices.md) | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2025-11-27 | [La Niña slows soybean planting and narrows Brazil’s 2025/26 production outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13459-la-nina-slows-soybean-planting-and-narrows-brazil-s-2025-26-production-outlook.md) | +1.0% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- profarmer.com: https://www.profarmer.com/news/agriculture-news/brazilian-production-uncertainties-mount

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.