# 2025/26 Brazil Soybean Estimate Unchanged at 176.0 Million Tons

> Brazil's 2025/26 soybean estimate was left unchanged at 176.0 million tons, with most private analysts having trimmed forecasts after irregular October and November rain. Soybean planting in Brazil is in the low 90% range, slightly behind last year, with Rio Grande do Sul lagging at 74% planted versus an 81% average.

- Date: 2025-12-10 · published 2025-12-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13456-2025-26-brazil-soybean-estimate-unchanged-at-176-0-million-tons
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral-to-lower bias in Brazilian soybean estimates reduces expected export supply, which can support soybean and meal prices if dryness persists in the south.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-03-21 | [Argentina Grains Exchange Cuts Soybean Forecast by a Million Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13870-argentina-grains-exchange-cuts-soybean-forecast-by-a-million-tons.md) | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2026-09-22 | [2026/27 Brazil Soybeans 1.2% Planted, Production of 180.0 mt](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13417-2026-27-brazil-soybeans-1-2-planted-production-of-180-0-mt.md) | -3.0% | -5.6% |
| SOY | 2024-09-26 | [2024/25 Brazil Soybean Planting Off to a Slow Start](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13548-2024-25-brazil-soybean-planting-off-to-a-slow-start.md) | +0.3% | -5.3% |
| SOY | 2026-01-31 | [Argentina's Soybean Harvest Forecast for 2025/26: 48M Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13816-argentina-s-soybean-harvest-forecast-for-2025-26-48m-tons.md) | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| SOY | 2023-01-16 | [Argentine soybean harvest estimate cut to 41 mln tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13989-argentine-soybean-harvest-estimate-cut-to-41-mln-tonnes.md) | -3.1% | +0.3% |
| SBM | 2025-03-21 | [Argentina Grains Exchange Cuts Soybean Forecast by a Million Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13870-argentina-grains-exchange-cuts-soybean-forecast-by-a-million-tons.md) | -0.6% | +0.5% |
| SBM | 2026-09-22 | [2026/27 Brazil Soybeans 1.2% Planted, Production of 180.0 mt](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13417-2026-27-brazil-soybeans-1-2-planted-production-of-180-0-mt.md) | -1.2% | -0.9% |
| SBM | 2026-01-31 | [Argentina's Soybean Harvest Forecast for 2025/26: 48M Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13816-argentina-s-soybean-harvest-forecast-for-2025-26-48m-tons.md) | +2.7% | +9.0% |

## Sources

- soybeansandcorn.com: https://www.soybeansandcorn.com/articles/10400/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.