# Safra 2025/26 Começa Com Clima Irregular E Avanço Mais Lento Do Plantio | Bela Cereais

> Conab projects Brazil's 2025/26 grain harvest at 354.8 million tons on 84.4 million hectares, slightly above the prior record. Planting has been slow, and intense heat and irregular rain in central Minas Gerais, eastern Mato Grosso and western Mato Grosso do Sul have caused delays, replanting and soybean establishment problems. Fertilizer spending reached US$8.8 billion, 5.2% of imports.

- Date: 2025-12-29 · published 2025-12-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13455-safra-2025-26-comeca-com-clima-irregular-e-avanco-mais-lento-do-plantio-bela
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Weather-related planting delays and replanting raise yield risk for Brazilian soybeans and corn, supporting prices. Higher phosphorus and fertilizer costs may also cut input use and future output.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-09-16 | [A Voz Do Mercado Debate Riscos Do El Niño Para A Safra 2026/27 \| Bela Cereais](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13418-a-voz-do-mercado-debate-riscos-do-el-nino-para-a-safra-2026-27-bela-cereais.md) | +0.4% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2025-12-05 | [Dry Conditions Slow Crop Planting and Development in Rio Grande do Sul's 2025/26 Season \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13458-dry-conditions-slow-crop-planting-and-development-in-rio-grande-do-sul-s-2025.md) | -2.3% | -6.5% |
| SOY | 2025-11-27 | [La Niña slows soybean planting and narrows Brazil’s 2025/26 production outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13459-la-nina-slows-soybean-planting-and-narrows-brazil-s-2025-26-production-outlook.md) | -1.1% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2025-02-20 | [2025 Corn Belt Planting Weather Outlook \| The More You Grow \| Corteva Agriscience](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13109-2025-corn-belt-planting-weather-outlook-the-more-you-grow-corteva-agriscience.md) | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2022-11-25 | [Irregular Rains and Dry Pockets Worry Farmers in Mato Grosso](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13686-irregular-rains-and-dry-pockets-worry-farmers-in-mato-grosso.md) | -0.4% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2026-09-16 | [A Voz Do Mercado Debate Riscos Do El Niño Para A Safra 2026/27 \| Bela Cereais](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13418-a-voz-do-mercado-debate-riscos-do-el-nino-para-a-safra-2026-27-bela-cereais.md) | +0.4% | -5.0% |
| CORN | 2025-06-23 | [Chuva Favorece Milho E Trigo, Mas Atrasa Colheita Da Segunda Safra Em Importantes Regiões Produtoras \| Bela Cereais](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13489-chuva-favorece-milho-e-trigo-mas-atrasa-colheita-da-segunda-safra-em.md) | -1.5% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2025-04-02 | [Safra Do Milho Safrinha: Desafios Climáticos Podem Impactar Produtividade No Sul E Centro-Oeste \| MM Cereais](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13500-safra-do-milho-safrinha-desafios-climaticos-podem-impactar-produtividade-no-sul.md) | +1.0% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- belacereais.com.br: https://belacereais.com.br/en/2025/safra/safra-2025-26-comeca-com-clima-irregular-e-avanco-mais-lento-do-plantio/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.