# Forecast from the São Paulo Department of Agriculture indicates a climate transition with the rainy season extending until the end of April. - DATAGRO

> São Paulo's agriculture department forecasts a transition from La Niña to El Niño, with rainfall likely continuing until the end of April. It recommends planting second-crop corn between March 15 and 31, and it flags fall armyworm risk in corn fields.

- Date: 2026-02-19 · published 2026-02-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13452-forecast-from-the-sao-paulo-department-of-agriculture-indicates-a-climate
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Extended rains favor a timely safrinha planting window, which supports a larger second crop, while the pest risk is a minor yield concern. The El Niño transition is a longer-term factor for South American weather.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-10-06 | [How to prepare for an El Niño winter \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62472-how-to-prepare-for-an-el-nino-winter-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| CORN | 2025-01-24 | [La Niña: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, January 2025 - Mitigating the expected impacts of La Niña‑induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26407-la-nina-anticipatory-action-and-response-plan-january-2025-mitigating-the.md) | -0.2% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2019-03-13 | [Climate outlook for 2019 growing season in Georgia \| Viticulture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60013-climate-outlook-for-2019-growing-season-in-georgia-viticulture.md) | +4.3% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2026-06-30 | [Corn prices in Paris are rising and in Chicago are falling under the pressure of weather factors, but in Ukraine they remain stable in anticipation of increased demand from the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18837-corn-prices-in-paris-are-rising-and-in-chicago-are-falling-under-the-pressure.md) | +5.7% | +8.7% |
| CORN | 2019-01-01 | [Growing climatic sensitivity of U.S. agriculture linked to technological change and regional specialization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61429-growing-climatic-sensitivity-of-u-s-agriculture-linked-to-technological-change.md) | +1.4% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- portal.datagro.com: https://portal.datagro.com/en/agribusiness/12/1069469/forecast-from-the-sao-paulo-department-of-agriculture-indicates-a-climate-transition-with-the-rainy-season-extending-until-the-end-of-april

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.