# Weather favors Brazil’s soybean crop | World Grain

> Conab projects Brazil's 2025-26 soybean crop at 178 million tonnes, up 6.5 million from the prior cycle, citing favorable weather. Harvest had reached 17% of planted area, and Mato Grosso yields were close to initial estimates, though overall grain yields are slightly lower.

- Date: 2026-02-13 · published 2026-02-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13448-weather-favors-brazil-s-soybean-crop-world-grain
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A large Brazilian soybean crop expands global export supply and weighs on soybean and meal prices. The forecast also points to a record national grain output.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-03-12 | [Brazil Crop, Midwest Weather Outlook for Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13012-brazil-crop-midwest-weather-outlook-for-soybeans.md) | -3.2% | -2.9% |
| SOY | 2017-01-24 | [Brazil's Soybean Crop Seen as Amazing](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72859-brazil-s-soybean-crop-seen-as-amazing.md) | -3.3% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2019-09-11 | [U.S. grains: Soybeans, corn ease on crop-boosting weather - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9148-u-s-grains-soybeans-corn-ease-on-crop-boosting-weather-agcanada.md) | +4.0% | +7.1% |
| SOY | 2017-02-23 | [Favorable Brazil Harvest Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72329-favorable-brazil-harvest-weather.md) | +1.8% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2019-04-02 | [Favorable Weather Pattern for Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59424-favorable-weather-pattern-for-brazil.md) | +0.4% | -6.1% |
| SBM | 2026-03-12 | [Brazil Crop, Midwest Weather Outlook for Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13012-brazil-crop-midwest-weather-outlook-for-soybeans.md) | +0.6% | -0.7% |
| SBM | 2017-01-24 | [Brazil's Soybean Crop Seen as Amazing](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72859-brazil-s-soybean-crop-seen-as-amazing.md) | -2.6% | -1.8% |
| SBM | 2017-02-23 | [Favorable Brazil Harvest Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72329-favorable-brazil-harvest-weather.md) | +0.0% | -3.4% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/22412-weather-favors-brazils-soybean-crop

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.