# Brazil Corn Estimate Unchanged at 134.0 Million Tons

> Analyst Michael Cordonnier keeps his Brazil corn estimate at 134.0 million tons but flags dry weather developing in the southern safrinha corn area as summer rains decline. He estimates about 40% of safrinha corn could face moisture stress, risking 4-6 million tons of losses.

- Date: 2026-04-22 · published 2026-04-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13438-brazil-corn-estimate-unchanged-at-134-0-million-tons
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [DDGS](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DDGS.md)

## Why it matters

Potential yield losses in safrinha corn would tighten Brazil's exportable corn surplus, supporting corn prices and firming feed-grade demand for DDGS and corn substitutes.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- DDGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-03-20 | [Brazil Corn Estimate Unchanged at 133.0 Million Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13445-brazil-corn-estimate-unchanged-at-133-0-million-tons.md) | -0.1% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2021-08-03 | [Brazil's second corn harvest 19 million tons smaller](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45431-brazil-s-second-corn-harvest-19-million-tons-smaller.md) | -1.8% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2020-07-15 | [Climate change may affect second corn crops in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51946-climate-change-may-affect-second-corn-crops-in-brazil.md) | -2.3% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2025-01-14 | [Brazil’s corn crop forecast lowered to 122.3 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13520-brazil-s-corn-crop-forecast-lowered-to-122-3-mln-tons.md) | +1.0% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2020-06-26 | [Climate change could affect the second corn harvest in Brazil - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52440-climate-change-could-affect-the-second-corn-harvest-in-brazil-revista-cultivar.md) | +4.6% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- soybeansandcorn.com: https://www.soybeansandcorn.com/articles/10457/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.