# In Brazil, El Niño Could Delay Grain Planting, Reduce Harvests and Disrupt Livestock Farming - 13/07/2026 - Business - Folha

> Folha reports that El Niño could delay grain planting, reduce harvests and disrupt livestock farming in Brazil in the second half of 2026. NOAA puts the probability of a very strong El Niño at 81%. Effects will vary by region, with drought risk in the North and Northeast and flooding risk in the South.

- Date: 2026-07-13 · published 2026-07-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13427-in-brazil-el-nino-could-delay-grain-planting-reduce-harvests-and-disrupt
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Delayed soybean planting in the Central-West could narrow the safrinha corn window and reduce yields, supporting soybean and corn prices. Drought risk in the north and northeast could also raise feed costs for livestock producers.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-03-23 | [CBOT corn climbs on delayed planting in Brazil - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5673-cbot-corn-climbs-on-delayed-planting-in-brazil-markets-business-recorder.md) | -0.5% | +3.5% |
| CORN | 2024-05-02 | [Heavy rains in big Brazil farm state disrupt soy, corn harvests in final stages](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6452-heavy-rains-in-big-brazil-farm-state-disrupt-soy-corn-harvests-in-final-stages.md) | +0.9% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2022-01-17 | [Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13749-brazil-s-drought-reduces-grain-harvest-forecasts.md) | -0.5% | +6.0% |
| CORN | 2021-02-26 | [Brazil Soy Harvest Slowed by Delayed Planting and Wet Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48465-brazil-soy-harvest-slowed-by-delayed-planting-and-wet-weather.md) | -1.0% | +4.7% |
| CORN | 2023-10-19 | [El Nino worries Brazil soy farmers as planting progresses, grain lobby says \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13617-el-nino-worries-brazil-soy-farmers-as-planting-progresses-grain-lobby-says.md) | +1.0% | -2.6% |
| SOY | 2024-05-02 | [Heavy rains in big Brazil farm state disrupt soy, corn harvests in final stages](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6452-heavy-rains-in-big-brazil-farm-state-disrupt-soy-corn-harvests-in-final-stages.md) | +4.9% | +4.7% |
| SOY | 2022-01-17 | [Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13749-brazil-s-drought-reduces-grain-harvest-forecasts.md) | +3.4% | +15.7% |
| SOY | 2021-02-26 | [Brazil Soy Harvest Slowed by Delayed Planting and Wet Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48465-brazil-soy-harvest-slowed-by-delayed-planting-and-wet-weather.md) | +0.7% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- www1.folha.uol.com.br: https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/business/2026/07/in-brazil-el-nino-could-delay-grain-planting-reduce-harvests-and-disrupt-livestock-farming.shtml

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.