# Unease ahead of 2023 grain harvest as record U.S. dryness spreads

> Reuters reported that a record 82% of the U.S. faces abnormal dryness, above the 2012 high. Dry fall conditions threaten winter wheat establishment and the 2023 harvest, and low Mississippi River levels are disrupting grain movement.

- Date: 2022-10-21 · published 2022-10-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13320-unease-ahead-of-2023-grain-harvest-as-record-u-s-dryness-spreads
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barge Freight (St. Louis)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARGE.md)

## Why it matters

Record dryness threatens winter wheat and future crop supplies, supporting wheat and feed grain prices. Barge disruption on the Mississippi adds freight costs and widens Gulf export basis.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- BARGE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2023-04-05 | [USA: Wheat Spread Hits Record As Drought Plagues Midwest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36445-usa-wheat-spread-hits-record-as-drought-plagues-midwest.md) | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-05-22 | [U.S. grains: Wheat rallies on Plains dryness, technical buying - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10917-u-s-grains-wheat-rallies-on-plains-dryness-technical-buying-agcanada.md) | +5.7% | -8.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-02-01 | [Dryness prevails in North America, western Asia \| 2021-02-01  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48537-dryness-prevails-in-north-america-western-asia-2021-02-01-world-grain.md) | -2.0% | -3.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-03-26 | [Wheat spread hits one-year high as drought fears grow in US plains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20220-wheat-spread-hits-one-year-high-as-drought-fears-grow-in-us-plains.md) | -0.6% | +7.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2016-11-22 | [Spring 2017 will help heal U.S. hard red wheat woes \| World-grain.com \| November 22, 2016 14:51 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73893-spring-2017-will-help-heal-u-s-hard-red-wheat-woes-world-grain-com-november-22.md) | -3.8% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-23 | [Record heat puts French grain harvest at risk \| Science-Environment](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18752-record-heat-puts-french-grain-harvest-at-risk-science-environment.md) | -1.3% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-22 | [Record grain harvest potential for Western Australian farmers as prices spike on east coast drought - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63501-record-grain-harvest-potential-for-western-australian-farmers-as-prices-spike.md) | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-11-17 | [WA harvest estimate now 44pc below last year's record: GIWA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33126-wa-harvest-estimate-now-44pc-below-last-year-s-record-giwa-grain-central.md) | +3.7% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/unease-ahead-2023-grain-harvest-record-us-dryness-spreads-2022-10-21/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.