# Brazil’s soybean oil production could reach 13.5 mln tons, while exports decline

> USDA forecasts Brazil's soybean oil production could reach 13.5 million tons in MY 2026/27. Exports are forecast to fall 15% to 1.7 million tons as domestic biodiesel demand rises with the planned B16 mandate.

- Date: 2026-10-29 · published 2026-10-29T18:05:42.758Z
- Category: policy · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/1331-brazil-s-soybean-oil-production-could-reach-13-5-mln-tons-while-exports-decline
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Rising domestic biodiesel use reduces Brazilian soybean oil export availability, supporting global vegetable oil prices and tightening supply for feed fat buyers.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SBO: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2023-12-22 | [Brazil's additional biodiesel demand to hit soyoil, soybean exports - analysts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32777-brazil-s-additional-biodiesel-demand-to-hit-soyoil-soybean-exports-analysts.md) | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| SBO | 2018-02-26 | [Brazilian B10 mandate to boost soybean exports by 1.2 million tons  : The Daily Digest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66592-brazilian-b10-mandate-to-boost-soybean-exports-by-1-2-million-tons-the-daily.md) | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| SBO | 2024-04-09 | [Brazilian crushers buy back soybean oil export positions to sell domestically - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30815-brazilian-crushers-buy-back-soybean-oil-export-positions-to-sell-domestically.md) | -5.0% | -7.5% |
| SBO | 2025-10-02 | [Soybean Oil's Premium to Palm Oil May Not Be Enough to Discourage Exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22494-soybean-oil-s-premium-to-palm-oil-may-not-be-enough-to-discourage-exports.md) | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| SBO | 2024-05-27 | [Palm Oil Magazine - Indonesia's Palm Oil Biodiesel Production Reaches 13.1 Million Kiloliters, Awaits B40 Decision - Palm Oil Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15644-palm-oil-magazine-indonesia-s-palm-oil-biodiesel-production-reaches-13-1.md) | +1.7% | +2.0% |
| SBM | 2018-02-26 | [Brazilian B10 mandate to boost soybean exports by 1.2 million tons  : The Daily Digest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66592-brazilian-b10-mandate-to-boost-soybean-exports-by-1-2-million-tons-the-daily.md) | +3.9% | +0.6% |
| SBM | 2026-05-14 | [EPA RVO Could Increase Soybean Oil Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15022-epa-rvo-could-increase-soybean-oil-demand.md) | -2.8% | -12.8% |
| SBM | 2023-01-10 | [China's soy reduction campaign could be an opportunity for alt-protein producers \| The Fish Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38120-china-s-soy-reduction-campaign-could-be-an-opportunity-for-alt-protein.md) | +2.5% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/brazils-soybean-oil-production-could-reach-13-5-mln-tons-while-exports-decline/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.