# IRI Summer Forecast Points to Western Corn Belt Dryness Due to La Nina Influence

> The IRI April forecast gives a 60% chance that La Nina develops by June-July-August, earlier than previously expected. The outlook favors below-normal precipitation in the Western Corn Belt, including southern Iowa and northern Missouri, while the Ohio Valley is wetter.

- Date: 2024-04-18 · published 2024-04-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13193-iri-summer-forecast-points-to-western-corn-belt-dryness-due-to-la-nina-influence
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A drier Western Corn Belt summer raises yield risk for corn and soybeans, a bullish factor for feed grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-07-25 | [Dryness Noted in Western Corn Belt Ratings](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69798-dryness-noted-in-western-corn-belt-ratings.md) | -1.0% | -6.1% |
| CORN | 2022-09-06 | [Crop Watch: Dryness trims western bean hopes; Kansas corn disappoints -Braun \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13330-crop-watch-dryness-trims-western-bean-hopes-kansas-corn-disappoints-braun.md) | +4.7% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2025-01-16 | [Weather Outlook Through Summer 2025 Sees La Nina Losing Influence During Spring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26409-weather-outlook-through-summer-2025-sees-la-nina-losing-influence-during-spring.md) | +0.7% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2026-06-23 | [Dryness Concerns Continue for Section of Northern Corn Belt](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12989-dryness-concerns-continue-for-section-of-northern-corn-belt.md) | -4.1% | +3.5% |
| CORN | 2025-03-28 | [NOAA Projects Intensified Drought in the Western Corn Belt - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13108-noaa-projects-intensified-drought-in-the-western-corn-belt-proag.md) | +0.5% | +5.5% |
| SOY | 2017-07-25 | [Dryness Noted in Western Corn Belt Ratings](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69798-dryness-noted-in-western-corn-belt-ratings.md) | -0.3% | -6.5% |
| SOY | 2022-09-06 | [Crop Watch: Dryness trims western bean hopes; Kansas corn disappoints -Braun \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13330-crop-watch-dryness-trims-western-bean-hopes-kansas-corn-disappoints-braun.md) | +2.6% | -9.0% |
| SOY | 2025-01-16 | [Weather Outlook Through Summer 2025 Sees La Nina Losing Influence During Spring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26409-weather-outlook-through-summer-2025-sees-la-nina-losing-influence-during-spring.md) | +2.2% | -1.2% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/AG/blogs/ag-weather-forum/blog-post/2024/04/18/iri-summer-forecast-points-western

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.