# Expert predicts 60% chance of Midwest drought in 2025

> Climatologist Eric Snodgrass puts the chance of a significant Midwest drought in 2025 at 60%, citing dry patterns already present with 70% of the continental US in some drought in late February. He notes that significant yield losses usually require a combination of drought and heat.

- Date: 2025-03-26 · published 2025-03-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13106-expert-predicts-60-chance-of-midwest-drought-in-2025
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A 60% odds estimate of a major drought raises the weather premium on corn and soybeans, though the forecast is probabilistic and not yet realized.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-09-10 | [Drought expands in the lower Midwest - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12961-drought-expands-in-the-lower-midwest-pro-farmer.md) | +4.3% | +1.1% |
| CORN | 2026-01-08 | [Drought monitor shows mixed changes in the Midwest - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13023-drought-monitor-shows-mixed-changes-in-the-midwest-pro-farmer.md) | -3.4% | -2.0% |
| CORN | 2021-02-22 | [Continued Plains, Western Midwest Drought Expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48478-continued-plains-western-midwest-drought-expected.md) | +1.6% | -3.4% |
| CORN | 2025-03-06 | [Drought Status Update for the Midwest \| March 6, 2025 \| Drought.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13101-drought-status-update-for-the-midwest-march-6-2025-drought-gov.md) | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2017-07-12 | [Drought Likely to Worsen in Northern Plains, Patches of Midwest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69809-drought-likely-to-worsen-in-northern-plains-patches-of-midwest.md) | -4.1% | -5.2% |
| SOY | 2026-09-10 | [Drought expands in the lower Midwest - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12961-drought-expands-in-the-lower-midwest-pro-farmer.md) | +1.9% | +0.2% |
| SOY | 2026-01-08 | [Drought monitor shows mixed changes in the Midwest - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13023-drought-monitor-shows-mixed-changes-in-the-midwest-pro-farmer.md) | -2.1% | +5.7% |
| SOY | 2025-03-06 | [Drought Status Update for the Midwest \| March 6, 2025 \| Drought.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13101-drought-status-update-for-the-midwest-march-6-2025-drought-gov.md) | -1.0% | +3.2% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/crops/expert-predicts-60-chance-of-midwest-drought-in-2025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.