# USDA crop progress reports: Summer assessments and yield predictions

> USDA's weekly crop condition ratings begin in late May and serve as an early read on corn and soybean prospects. The article reviews four decades of ratings data and how the first-week ratings have historically related to final yields.

- Date: 2025-05-27 · published 2025-05-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13085-usda-crop-progress-reports-summer-assessments-and-yield-predictions
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Early condition ratings shift market expectations for yield, and the historical link to final output helps buyers gauge how much weight to give each weekly report.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-05-31 | [Crop progress and condition report - Morning Ag Clips](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64878-crop-progress-and-condition-report-morning-ag-clips.md) | -2.2% | -7.3% |
| CORN | 2020-06-11 | [USDA Releases June Crop Production, WASDE Reports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52459-usda-releases-june-crop-production-wasde-reports.md) | +1.0% | +5.3% |
| CORN | 2021-10-07 | [Argentina Crop Progress and Condition](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44407-argentina-crop-progress-and-condition.md) | -2.7% | +6.7% |
| CORN | 2025-07-11 | [PF Reaction to USDA Reports \| USDA cuts old-, new-crop corn ending stocks - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23714-pf-reaction-to-usda-reports-usda-cuts-old-new-crop-corn-ending-stocks-pro-farmer.md) | -0.7% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2025-01-10 | [Annual Crop Production Summary & Winter Wheat Seeding Reports Published by USDA - Oklahoma Farm Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13124-annual-crop-production-summary-and-winter-wheat-seeding-reports-published-by.md) | +3.2% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2018-05-31 | [Crop progress and condition report - Morning Ag Clips](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64878-crop-progress-and-condition-report-morning-ag-clips.md) | -2.8% | -15.2% |
| SOY | 2026-03-10 | [USDA Releases March Crop Production, WASDE Reports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20107-usda-releases-march-crop-production-wasde-reports.md) | -2.1% | -1.9% |
| SOY | 2019-03-08 | [USDA Reports Summary - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60034-usda-reports-summary-proag.md) | -0.1% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/commentary/usda-crop-progress-reports-what-to-expect-as-summer-assessments-begin

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.