# Minimal Drought Expected Through Fall 2025 in Primary US Crop Areas

> NOAA's seasonal drought outlook through October calls for only limited drought east of the Rockies, in sharp contrast to the widespread dryness of fall 2024. The U.S. corn crop was rated 74% good to excellent for the week ending July 20, its highest for that date since 2016.

- Date: 2025-07-23 · published 2025-07-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13074-minimal-drought-expected-through-fall-2025-in-primary-us-crop-areas
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Expected drought-free conditions in the main crop areas point to ample supplies and reduce weather-driven price support for corn and soybeans.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-05-25 | [Map: Summer Drought Expected to B... \| Syngenta CA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12993-map-summer-drought-expected-to-b-syngenta-ca.md) | -2.2% | -8.4% |
| CORN | 2025-01-17 | [Midwest Drought Recovery: How 2025 Is Shaping Up for Farmers After a Dry Fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13122-midwest-drought-recovery-how-2025-is-shaping-up-for-farmers-after-a-dry-fall.md) | +1.9% | +3.9% |
| CORN | 2025-08-14 | [Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC \| GMA News Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23243-brief-la-nina-expected-in-fall-2025-before-enso-neutral-returns-says-us-cpc-gma.md) | +1.1% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2023-11-01 | [I-80 Harvest Tour: Widespread Drought in Minnesota Cuts Yields, But Corn Still Better Than Expected - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13228-i-80-harvest-tour-widespread-drought-in-minnesota-cuts-yields-but-corn-still.md) | -0.1% | -4.0% |
| CORN | 2026-06-25 | [Midwest crops fare well amid variable drought \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12983-midwest-crops-fare-well-amid-variable-drought-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.8% | +6.4% |
| SOY | 2026-05-25 | [Map: Summer Drought Expected to B... \| Syngenta CA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12993-map-summer-drought-expected-to-b-syngenta-ca.md) | -1.3% | -6.6% |
| SOY | 2025-01-17 | [Midwest Drought Recovery: How 2025 Is Shaping Up for Farmers After a Dry Fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13122-midwest-drought-recovery-how-2025-is-shaping-up-for-farmers-after-a-dry-fall.md) | +3.6% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2025-08-14 | [Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC \| GMA News Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23243-brief-la-nina-expected-in-fall-2025-before-enso-neutral-returns-says-us-cpc-gma.md) | -0.8% | -0.8% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/AG/blogs/ag-weather-forum/blog-post/2025/07/23/minimal-drought-expected-fall-2025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.