# Final Harvest Yield Analytics: Corn vs Soybeans Ahead of January USDA

> Quantum Hedging's final harvest yield analysis, based on commercial seed plot results, finds U.S. corn yields finished modestly below 2024. Pockets of strength were seen in South Dakota, Minnesota, Indiana and Ohio, but these gains did not offset weakness in the Core Belt. The analysis suggests USDA's late-season upward revisions may overstate actual yields.

- Date: 2026-01-07 · published 2026-01-07T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13028-final-harvest-yield-analytics-corn-vs-soybeans-ahead-of-january-usda
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

If realized yields are below USDA's estimates, supply may be tighter than the official numbers indicate, which could support corn prices. The impact depends on how far the model's signal diverges from the final USDA figures.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-02-08 | [Soybeans, corn, wheat up ahead of USDA numbers - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8600-soybeans-corn-wheat-up-ahead-of-usda-numbers-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2026-08-12 | [USDA August WASDE Calls for Lower Yields, Higher Harvested Area for Corn and Soybeans \| Agriculture of America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17858-usda-august-wasde-calls-for-lower-yields-higher-harvested-area-for-corn-and.md) | +3.5% | +11.8% |
| CORN | 2022-09-12 | [USDA Lowers Corn and Soybean Yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39551-usda-lowers-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | -1.1% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2021-01-13 | [USDA Lowers Soybean Stocks and Corn Yield](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49088-usda-lowers-soybean-stocks-and-corn-yield.md) | +2.0% | +7.5% |
| CORN | 2025-09-12 | [Corn and Soybeans Rally on USDA Yield Cuts, China Hopes: Are Further Cuts Coming? - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6854-corn-and-soybeans-rally-on-usda-yield-cuts-china-hopes-are-further-cuts-coming.md) | +5.1% | +3.6% |

## Sources

- quantum-hedging.com: https://quantum-hedging.com/harvest-yield-analytics-1-7-26/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.