# Risk On or Risk Off? - Field Advisor

> Field Advisor assesses the 2026 growing season risk, noting a fading weak La Niña and overwintered soil moisture deficits. Growers are hauling water this spring, which is unusual in the author's experience. Early Pacific signals point toward better moisture, though conditions could change.

- Date: 2026-02-13 · published 2026-02-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13017-risk-on-or-risk-off-field-advisor
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Soil moisture deficits going into spring raise the risk of a weather premium in corn and soybean prices. The outlook is still uncertain, so the impact is limited for now.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-03-25 | [What does a cool, wet spring mean for soybean growers? - Field Advisor](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59924-what-does-a-cool-wet-spring-mean-for-soybean-growers-field-advisor.md) | -5.0% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2020-07-14 | [Rains on parts of the Plains, upper Midwest - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51957-rains-on-parts-of-the-plains-upper-midwest-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.1% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2021-11-02 | [Fall Field Work Following a Wet October - farmdoc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13407-fall-field-work-following-a-wet-october-farmdoc.md) | +0.2% | -2.5% |
| CORN | 2022-06-13 | [Take advantage of rallies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40989-take-advantage-of-rallies.md) | -1.5% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2024-05-31 | [Severe weather keeps Midwest farmers out of the field](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13187-severe-weather-keeps-midwest-farmers-out-of-the-field.md) | -1.5% | -6.6% |
| SOY | 2020-07-14 | [Rains on parts of the Plains, upper Midwest - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51957-rains-on-parts-of-the-plains-upper-midwest-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +3.0% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2019-10-14 | [Feedback From The Field - Oct. 14, 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56415-feedback-from-the-field-oct-14-2019.md) | -0.2% | -1.8% |
| SOY | 2021-11-02 | [Fall Field Work Following a Wet October - farmdoc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13407-fall-field-work-following-a-wet-october-farmdoc.md) | -4.8% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- fieldadvisor.org: https://fieldadvisor.org/risk-on-or-risk-off/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.