# U.S. soybean yields expected to set a new record this fall

> USDA's October 9 report projects a record 53.1 bpa soybean yield and corn at 181.2 bpa, with total corn production of 16.0 billion bushels, the second largest on record. State projections include Illinois at 68 bpa and Iowa at 63 bpa. USDA says final yields may still change as more field data comes in.

- Date: 2026-10-13 · published 2026-10-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12953-u-s-soybean-yields-expected-to-set-a-new-record-this-fall
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Record and historically large crops point to heavier supplies, which pressures corn and keeps soybean supply comfortable. The soybean outlook is steady because the record yield is already widely expected.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-12-30 | [Growers Expected to Set New Record Average Yields Despite Seasonal Setbacks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13030-growers-expected-to-set-new-record-average-yields-despite-seasonal-setbacks.md) | +0.0% | -2.1% |
| CORN | 2024-08-13 | [USDA Projects Record Soybean, Corn Yields - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10469-usda-projects-record-soybean-corn-yields-farm-policy-news.md) | -1.2% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2020-11-28 | [Wisconsin corn growers expect to see record yields \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49993-wisconsin-corn-growers-expect-to-see-record-yields-ap-news.md) | -1.5% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2017-04-06 | [Brazil To Harvest Record Corn And Soybean Yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71350-brazil-to-harvest-record-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | +0.6% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2020-08-12 | [USDA forecasts record high corn, soybean yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51457-usda-forecasts-record-high-corn-soybean-yields.md) | +3.8% | +8.3% |
| SOY | 2018-07-30 | [U.S. Soybeans Setting Pods at Record Pace](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63871-u-s-soybeans-setting-pods-at-record-pace.md) | +1.8% | -3.3% |
| SOY | 2025-08-15 | [Global soybean meal trade to set record for third straight year](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23403-global-soybean-meal-trade-to-set-record-for-third-straight-year.md) | +2.6% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2018-05-11 | [Soybean yields not increasing relative to corn yields - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64876-soybean-yields-not-increasing-relative-to-corn-yields-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.8% | -4.3% |

## Sources

- onthefarmradio.com: https://www.onthefarmradio.com/single-post/u-s-soybean-yields-expected-to-set-a-new-record-this-fall

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.