# Drought could wipe out 61% of arable farm profits, AHDB warns - FarmingUK News

> AHDB warns that a 15% drop in arable output from drought could cut farm profits by 61%. The article notes that wheat and barley prices rose during summer 2026, which may offset some lost income.

- Date: 2026-10-28 · published 2026-10-29T06:05:35.259Z
- Category: weather · region UK · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/128-drought-could-wipe-out-61-of-arable-farm-profits-ahdb-warns-farminguk-news
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Drought-driven yield losses in the UK would tighten domestic wheat and barley supplies and could support prices. Higher prices partly offset the yield loss for growers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-03 | [Feed prices ‘unsustainable’ as tough market conditions impact egg producer margins - FarmingUK News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63040-feed-prices-unsustainable-as-tough-market-conditions-impact-egg-producer.md) | +4.3% | -1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-04-26 | [Wheat planting begins under drought cloud \| SBS News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59524-wheat-planting-begins-under-drought-cloud-sbs-news.md) | -3.9% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-22 | [Plains Drought Cuts Winter Wheat Production Forecast \| Agriculture of America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18860-plains-drought-cuts-winter-wheat-production-forecast-agriculture-of-america.md) | -1.6% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-30 | [Northern Plains see drought expand following hot weather - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12976-northern-plains-see-drought-expand-following-hot-weather-pro-farmer.md) | -1.3% | +3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-11 | [Drought bites in the east as ABARES forecasts 12pc cut to grain production - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62980-drought-bites-in-the-east-as-abares-forecasts-12pc-cut-to-grain-production-abc.md) | -7.4% | -7.0% |

## Sources

- farminguk.com: https://www.farminguk.com/news/drought-could-wipe-out-61-of-arable-farm-profits-ahdb-warns_69376.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.