# Sunflower seeds: outlook for the 2026 crop - Mundus Agri

> Oil World forecasts a record global sunflower seed crop of up to 63.3 million tonnes for 2026/27, above USDA's 62.06 million. Harvest delays are possible in Ukraine, and EU sunflower seed imports rose 92%.

- Date: 2026-06-25 · published 2026-06-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12627-sunflower-seeds-outlook-for-the-2026-crop-mundus-agri
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Sunflower Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SUNMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A larger private forecast than USDA's signals ample seed supply, which is bearish for sunflower oil and meal prices. Possible Ukrainian harvest delays are a near-term support factor.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bearish ▼
- SUNMEAL: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SUNMEAL | 2026-06-29 | 1 | -3.8% | -2.8 | Oil World's record 2026/27 global sunflower seed crop forecast (up to 63.3 Mt) signals ample future meal supply, which weighs on sunflower meal prices. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2022-10-07 | [Turkey on pace for record sunflower seed crop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39252-turkey-on-pace-for-record-sunflower-seed-crop-world-grain.md) | +1.8% | +7.7% |
| SBO | 2023-02-13 | [USDA raised the forecast for Ukrainian sunflower oil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37435-usda-raised-the-forecast-for-ukrainian-sunflower-oil.md) | +1.7% | -1.8% |
| SBO | 2023-10-16 | [USDA improved the forecast for Ukrainian sunflower oil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33751-usda-improved-the-forecast-for-ukrainian-sunflower-oil.md) | +2.4% | -0.3% |
| SBO | 2023-04-14 | [EU sunflower-seed output set to hit record level this year](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36521-eu-sunflower-seed-output-set-to-hit-record-level-this-year.md) | +1.0% | -3.8% |
| SBO | 2026-05-27 | [USDA estimates 2026 sunflower production at 2.38 billion pounds](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19372-usda-estimates-2026-sunflower-production-at-2-38-billion-pounds.md) | +1.7% | -4.6% |

## Sources

- mundus-agri.eu: https://www.mundus-agri.eu/news/sunflower-seeds-outlook-2026-crop.n37461.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.