# What global sunflower production increase means for farmers

> USDA forecasts 2026-27 global sunflower seed production up 12% to 62.06 million tonnes, after two years of dry-weather shortfalls. Global seed stocks are projected to rise 38%, and sunflower oil output is forecast at 23.5 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-06-30 · published 2026-06-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12625-what-global-sunflower-production-increase-means-for-farmers
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Sunflower Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SUNMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A larger crop and rising stocks point to more sunflower oil and meal supply, which is bearish for sunflower product prices and could let sunflower products gain market share.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bearish ▼
- SUNMEAL: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SUNMEAL | 2026-06-29 | 1 | -3.8% | -2.8 | USDA's forecast of a 12% rise in 2026-27 sunflower seed output and a 38% rise in stocks points to larger meal availability, a bearish sentiment driver. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2020-06-04 | [USDA projects increase in sunflower production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52727-usda-projects-increase-in-sunflower-production.md) | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| SBO | 2025-06-23 | [Global sunflower production set to rise 8% in 2025-26, Russia maintains top producer status](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24343-global-sunflower-production-set-to-rise-8-in-2025-26-russia-maintains-top.md) | -3.1% | +0.9% |
| SBO | 2023-03-30 | [Production of sunflower oil and meal significantly increased in Kazakhstan – NOPA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36985-production-of-sunflower-oil-and-meal-significantly-increased-in-kazakhstan-nopa.md) | +1.8% | -4.8% |
| SBO | 2026-10-27 | [Argentina expands sunflowerseed production and crushing amid high global sunflower oil prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17209-argentina-expands-sunflowerseed-production-and-crushing-amid-high-global.md) | -0.5% | — |
| SBO | 2018-10-19 | [Soybean oil production increased in September - McKeany-Flavell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62629-soybean-oil-production-increased-in-september-mckeany-flavell.md) | -2.2% | -4.6% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/markets-and-quotes/what-global-sunflower-production-increase-means-for-farmers

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.