# 'Substantial upside risk' to urea prices - but values of other fertilizers to dip - Grain Price News

> Rabobank warned urea prices face substantial upside risk after production cuts tied to energy costs, including ammonia curtailments across European plants. China's hydropower shortfall is forcing power restrictions on urea plants, and government export controls have already pushed Chinese urea prices down from a June record. Potash and phosphate costs are expected to ease.

- Date: 2022-09-01 · published 2022-09-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12415-substantial-upside-risk-to-urea-prices-but-values-of-other-fertilizers-to-dip
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Curtailed nitrogen output and constrained Chinese exports tighten global urea supply, supporting higher nitrogen input costs for feed grain and livestock producers. Lower potash and phosphate prices partly offset this.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2021-10-20 | [Rice Prices Set to Rise as Fertilizer Rally Drives Up Farm Costs - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44642-rice-prices-set-to-rise-as-fertilizer-rally-drives-up-farm-costs-caixin-global.md) | -2.0% | +9.0% |
| UREA | 2024-03-01 | [Engro Fertilizers raises urea price by Rs740 amid gas hike](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6435-engro-fertilizers-raises-urea-price-by-rs740-amid-gas-hike.md) | +8.3% | +5.8% |
| UREA | 2020-09-15 | [Fertilizer: Urea price hike on the cards following denial of relaxation on GIDC payments](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51408-fertilizer-urea-price-hike-on-the-cards-following-denial-of-relaxation-on-gidc.md) | -0.7% | -5.2% |
| UREA | 2026-07-16 | [France's €145M nitrogen fertilizer aid lifts up urea prices by 8% — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18674-france-s-145m-nitrogen-fertilizer-aid-lifts-up-urea-prices-by-8-fertilizer-daily.md) | +4.2% | +4.1% |
| UREA | 2026-10-28 | [U.S. Corn Growers Urge Faster Fertilizer Antitrust Action as Prices Keep Rising - Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/293-u-s-corn-growers-urge-faster-fertilizer-antitrust-action-as-prices-keep-rising.md) | -1.3% | — |

## Sources

- grainpricenews.com: https://grainpricenews.com/2022/09/01/substantial-upside-risk-to-urea-prices-but-values-of-other-fertilizers-to-dip/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.