# Here’s what the U.S.-China trade truce really means for the U.S. soybean market — and for farmers - MarketWatch

> Under a White House deal announced November 1, China will buy at least 12 million metric tons of US soybeans in the last two months of 2025 and at least 25 million tons in each of the next three years. Analysts say US exporters may not regain market share lost to Brazil during the trade conflict.

- Date: 2025-11-08 · published 2025-11-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12248-here-s-what-the-u-s-china-trade-truce-really-means-for-the-u-s-soybean-market
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Committed Chinese purchases could support US soybean demand and prices, but Brazil's entrenched supply position limits the lasting price benefit for US beans.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-05-13 | [US farmers say Brazil keeps edge in China's soy market despite trade truce \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9507-us-farmers-say-brazil-keeps-edge-in-china-s-soy-market-despite-trade-truce.md) | -1.4% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2018-04-08 | [As U.S. and China trade tariff barbs, others scoop up U.S. soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65547-as-u-s-and-china-trade-tariff-barbs-others-scoop-up-u-s-soybeans.md) | +2.0% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2018-08-17 | [Soybean bulls and bears both watching China and trade talks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63616-soybean-bulls-and-bears-both-watching-china-and-trade-talks.md) | -4.9% | -7.2% |
| SOY | 2026-06-23 | [U.S. fights with Brazil for China's giant soybean market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14570-u-s-fights-with-brazil-for-china-s-giant-soybean-market.md) | -0.6% | +9.3% |
| SOY | 2020-02-20 | [China Back in the Market for U.S. Farm Goods After Waivers \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54480-china-back-in-the-market-for-u-s-farm-goods-after-waivers-financial-post.md) | -1.8% | -8.0% |

## Sources

- marketwatch.com: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-u-s-china-trade-truce-really-means-for-the-u-s-soybean-market-627a6cfe

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.