# 2026 Rice Market Outlook

> University of Arkansas economists outlined a 2026 rice outlook citing January WASDE figures of 34.6 million bushels of long-grain ending stocks and a $10.50/cwt farm price. They expect prices to stay depressed through 2026 unless major Asian production shocks occur.

- Date: 2026-02-18 · published 2026-02-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12012-2026-rice-market-outlook
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Large exportable surpluses from Asia and lower Indonesian import demand suggest continued price weakness. Only a major Asian production shock would likely change that outlook.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-02-27 | [Rice Outlook: February 2026 - Rice Farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12571-rice-outlook-february-2026-rice-farming.md) | +8.5% | +10.3% |
| RICE | 2025-07-23 | [Grain market review: Rice \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23832-grain-market-review-rice-world-grain.md) | +0.0% | +1.1% |
| RICE | 2024-08-22 | [Grain market review: Rice \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28862-grain-market-review-rice-world-grain.md) | +2.3% | +4.9% |
| RICE | 2024-06-13 | [Food Outlook - Biannual Report on Global Food Markets, June 2024 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17024-food-outlook-biannual-report-on-global-food-markets-june-2024-world-reliefweb.md) | -1.3% | +7.3% |
| RICE | 2021-03-17 | [Weekly world market rice prices: USDA - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48193-weekly-world-market-rice-prices-usda-markets-business-recorder.md) | +1.5% | +1.2% |

## Sources

- southernagtoday.org: https://southernagtoday.org/2026/02/18/2026-rice-market-outlook/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.