# Rice Prices Fall Despite Tighter Domestic Stocks Outlook - RFD-TV

> U.S. rice producers face lower farm prices in 2026 despite tighter domestic supplies, with the long-grain farm price forecast falling to about $10.50/cwt from $14.00. Worldwide production is near record levels while demand lags, and U.S. long-grain exports fell 31% in the first half of the marketing year.

- Date: 2026-02-19 · published 2026-02-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: market · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/12010-rice-prices-fall-despite-tighter-domestic-stocks-outlook-rfd-tv
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Large Asian exportable supplies dominate the global market, capping U.S. rice prices despite a smaller domestic stocks outlook. Competition from South American crops limits U.S. export recovery.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-02-23 | 5 | -9.4% | -3.4 | Lower US long-grain farm price forecasts, near-record world output and a 31% drop in US long-grain exports weigh on rough rice values. |
| RICE | 2026-02-18 | 5 | -8.5% | -3.1 | Lower forecast US farm prices, weak exports and near-record world output reinforce bearish sentiment, though it is a slower-moving outlook rather than a trigger. |

## Sources

- rfdtv.com: https://www.rfdtv.com/rice-prices-fall-despite-tighter-domestic-stocks-outlook

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.