# A Record Harvest, So Why Aren’t Rice Prices Falling?

> Indonesia's rice market stayed flat in Q2 2025 despite a record domestic harvest, with consumer, wholesale and producer prices showing little change. BPS projected production up 14.49% for January to July 2025 to 21.76 million tons. Prices remained stagnant year on year.

- Date: 2025-08-22 · published 2025-08-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Indonesia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/11820-a-record-harvest-so-why-aren-t-rice-prices-falling
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Strong domestic supply has not translated into lower Indonesian prices, reducing import pressure and signaling limited near-term demand for imported rice.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2016-12-13 | [International Maize, Wheat, Rice Prices Remain Down, According to Latest FPMA Report \| Food Security Portal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73523-international-maize-wheat-rice-prices-remain-down-according-to-latest-fpma.md) | -3.9% | -4.7% |
| RICE | 2021-02-10 | [To Feed Burgeoning Hog Herd, China Uses Wheat, Rice and Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48624-to-feed-burgeoning-hog-herd-china-uses-wheat-rice-and-corn.md) | -1.3% | -1.2% |
| RICE | 2020-03-30 | [U.S rice imports in 2019 are projected at a record high for third consecutive year \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54209-u-s-rice-imports-in-2019-are-projected-at-a-record-high-for-third-consecutive.md) | +4.2% | +21.5% |
| RICE | 2023-10-22 | [Mint Primer: Making sense of India’s record food production \| Mint](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33583-mint-primer-making-sense-of-india-s-record-food-production-mint.md) | +2.4% | +9.9% |
| RICE | 2025-11-11 | [India’s lifting of rice export ban helped cool global food prices, says WTO \| Today News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21916-india-s-lifting-of-rice-export-ban-helped-cool-global-food-prices-says-wto.md) | +3.1% | -0.3% |

## Sources

- cips-indonesia.org: https://www.cips-indonesia.org/post/a-record-harvest-so-why-aren-t-rice-prices-falling

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.