# Natural Gas Surges as U.S. Forecasts Stoke Winter Supply Jitters

> Henry Hub natural gas for November delivery rose as much as 10.7% to $5.844/mmBtu after forecasts called for chilly early-November weather in the US East and Midwest. Storage injections were larger than usual in mild October, but supplies remain below normal. The US is exporting near capacity to help ease shortages in Europe and Asia.

- Date: 2021-10-25 · published 2021-10-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/11756-natural-gas-surges-as-u-s-forecasts-stoke-winter-supply-jitters
- Commodities: [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Cold forecasts and strong LNG export pull tighten the balance for winter supply, supporting higher natural gas prices. Higher gas costs raise energy and fertilizer costs for feed production.

## Read by commodity

- NATGAS: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2021-10-25 | 1 | +11.9% | 3.1 | Same-day report of the surge to $5.844 on chilly East and Midwest forecasts, with supplies below normal and LNG exports near capacity, so heating demand expectations met a tight supply backdrop. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2021-10-25 | [U.S. natural gas prices soar 10% as cold winter forecasts develop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11757-u-s-natural-gas-prices-soar-10-as-cold-winter-forecasts-develop.md) | +5.2% | -4.0% |
| NATGAS | 2022-12-08 | [European Natural Gas Prices Surge as Winter Blast Stokes Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11510-european-natural-gas-prices-surge-as-winter-blast-stokes-demand.md) | +27.9% | -29.6% |
| NATGAS | 2018-11-06 | [Natural gas prices surge on surprise forecast for cold US weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6487-natural-gas-prices-surge-on-surprise-forecast-for-cold-us-weather.md) | +9.1% | +24.8% |
| NATGAS | 2025-12-26 | [US Natural Gas Futures Rise As Forecasts Predict Colder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7192-us-natural-gas-futures-rise-as-forecasts-predict-colder.md) | +1.5% | +248.0% |
| NATGAS | 2022-01-28 | [Natural gas futures surge as powerful winter storm looms – KION Central Coast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6918-natural-gas-futures-surge-as-powerful-winter-storm-looms-kion-central-coast.md) | +1.4% | -13.6% |

## Sources

- energyconnects.com: https://www.energyconnects.com/news/utilities/2021/october/natural-gas-surges-as-us-forecasts-stoke-winter-supply-jitters/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.