# UK harvest reviewed as US stock reports pushes global wheat higher: Grain market daily | AHDB

> UK feed wheat futures rose after US production cuts and lower-than-expected US stocks pushed global wheat higher. Fertiliser prices also climbed, with Dec-21 FOB US Gulf urea up $209 per ton over September.

- Date: 2021-10-01 · published 2021-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/11319-uk-harvest-reviewed-as-us-stock-reports-pushes-global-wheat-higher-grain-market
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Tighter global wheat stocks support grain prices, and rising urea costs raise production expenses for farmers and future planting decisions. Buyers face higher costs on both sides of the supply chain.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2021-10-01 | 5 | +28.9% | 7.1 | AHDB reports Dec-21 FOB US Gulf urea up $209/t over September, directly confirming the sharp price surge into 1 Oct. |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-04 | 1 | +3.1% | 3.2 | Lower-than-expected US stocks and production cuts pushed global wheat higher, showing the supply shock transmitted to world prices and feed wheat futures. |
| UREA | 2021-09-30 | 1 | +23.9% | 15.3 | AHDB notes Dec-21 FOB US Gulf urea up $209/t over September, confirming the magnitude of the price surge, though it was published after the move date. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-24 | [Global wheat surplus shrunk by IGC: Grain Market Daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52147-global-wheat-surplus-shrunk-by-igc-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-04-30 | [High new-crop UK wheat prices, what can be done? Grain Market Daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7703-high-new-crop-uk-wheat-prices-what-can-be-done-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -5.5% | -5.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-30 | [Key data in USDA stocks and wheat harvest reports, and difference from market forecasts - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39554-key-data-in-usda-stocks-and-wheat-harvest-reports-and-difference-from-market.md) | +0.4% | -10.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-31 | [What are the prospects for UK wheat exports this year? Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26546-what-are-the-prospects-for-uk-wheat-exports-this-year-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-24 | [Tighter wheat and barley balance sheets in 2024/25: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27936-tighter-wheat-and-barley-balance-sheets-in-2024-25-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| UREA | 2022-11-03 | [The global fertilizer market: taking stock of a tightening market situation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38619-the-global-fertilizer-market-taking-stock-of-a-tightening-market-situation.md) | -1.8% | -12.9% |
| UREA | 2026-10-01 | [Global natural gas and LNG markets: Europe approaches winter drawdown with low storage and stronger Asian LNG competition \| Report Interpretation \| Hilo Research](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17235-global-natural-gas-and-lng-markets-europe-approaches-winter-drawdown-with-low.md) | -6.6% | -4.1% |
| UREA | 2026-05-12 | [USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10792-usda-projects-smallest-us-wheat-harvest-since-1972-due-to-plains-drought-agweb.md) | -2.7% | -29.5% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/uk-harvest-reviewed-as-us-stock-reports-pushes-global-wheat-higher-grain-market-daily

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.