# Oil Curve Shift Shows Fears of Protracted Mideast Conflict

> Front-month Brent prices spiked by as much as 13% as the conflict in the Middle East escalated. Longer-dated contracts also moved, with timespreads rallying. The shift in the futures curve suggests traders expect the conflict to last.

- Date: 2025-07-01 · published 2025-07-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Middle East · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/10999-oil-curve-shift-shows-fears-of-protracted-mideast-conflict
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

A steep, persistent rise in crude prices and a stronger near-term curve signal higher energy input costs for feed producers and ocean and land transport. The move may also lift biofuel-linked vegetable oil prices.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2024-10-31 | [Oil Rises On Middle East Conflict Escalation Fears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28028-oil-rises-on-middle-east-conflict-escalation-fears.md) | +3.9% | +0.7% |
| BRENT | 2019-06-21 | [U.S. oil soars 10% in week on fears of U.S.-Iran conflict](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12313-u-s-oil-soars-10-in-week-on-fears-of-u-s-iran-conflict.md) | +2.7% | -5.6% |
| BRENT | 2024-10-07 | [Oil prices extend gains, lifting Brent crude towards $80 on fears of wider Middle East conflict \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10025-oil-prices-extend-gains-lifting-brent-crude-towards-80-on-fears-of-wider-middle.md) | +1.2% | -6.8% |
| BRENT | 2023-10-13 | [Oil, Treasuries, gold prices jump amid Mideast fears \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9281-oil-treasuries-gold-prices-jump-amid-mideast-fears-reuters.md) | +6.4% | -7.2% |
| BRENT | 2026-09-07 | [Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17631-oil-prices-rise-to-six-week-highs-on-worsening-middle-east-conflict-reuters.md) | +12.0% | +18.6% |
| WTI | 2024-10-31 | [Oil Rises On Middle East Conflict Escalation Fears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28028-oil-rises-on-middle-east-conflict-escalation-fears.md) | +4.5% | +0.2% |
| WTI | 2019-06-21 | [U.S. oil soars 10% in week on fears of U.S.-Iran conflict](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12313-u-s-oil-soars-10-in-week-on-fears-of-u-s-iran-conflict.md) | +4.3% | -2.3% |
| WTI | 2024-10-07 | [Oil prices extend gains, lifting Brent crude towards $80 on fears of wider Middle East conflict \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10025-oil-prices-extend-gains-lifting-brent-crude-towards-80-on-fears-of-wider-middle.md) | +1.6% | -6.7% |

## Sources

- bloomberg.com: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-13/reshaping-of-oil-curve-signals-middle-east-conflict-may-drag-on

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.