# Strait of Hormuz Closure Nears 10-Week Mark, Keeping Fertilizer Markets Tight Worldwide - RFD

> The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for about 10 weeks, keeping fertilizer markets tight. Urea output in Europe is running near 75% of normal, Chinese exports are not expected until August, and blocked Gulf shipments are tightening trade flows.

- Date: 2026-05-01 · published 2026-05-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/10736-strait-of-hormuz-closure-nears-10-week-mark-keeping-fertilizer-markets-tight
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Sustained export disruption from the Gulf keeps nitrogen and phosphate supply constrained, supporting fertilizer prices even as buyers delay purchases, with North American supply comparatively better covered.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-07-08 | [Closure of Strait of Hormuz: A Looming Threat to Already High Fertilizer Costs - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24073-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-a-looming-threat-to-already-high-fertilizer-costs.md) | +2.0% | +11.7% |
| UREA | 2026-10-25 | [Fertilizer’s Next Big Problem? It Goes Beyond the Strait of Hormuz](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17354-fertilizer-s-next-big-problem-it-goes-beyond-the-strait-of-hormuz.md) | -0.1% | — |
| UREA | 2026-07-14 | [The Strait of Hormuz Is Technically Still Open. So Why Are Fertilizer Prices Climbing? - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18673-the-strait-of-hormuz-is-technically-still-open-so-why-are-fertilizer-prices.md) | +1.6% | +4.2% |
| UREA | 2026-04-07 | [ICIS provides insight into impacts of US-Iran war on fertilizer markets \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19638-icis-provides-insight-into-impacts-of-us-iran-war-on-fertilizer-markets-world.md) | 0.0% | -10.4% |
| UREA | 2023-02-20 | [World’s fertilizer market in turmoil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37253-world-s-fertilizer-market-in-turmoil.md) | +1.8% | -3.8% |
| DAP | 2026-09-18 | [How are fertilizer markets coping with the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz? \| CGIAR System](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17410-how-are-fertilizer-markets-coping-with-the-continued-closure-of-the-strait-of.md) | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| DAP | 2025-07-08 | [Closure of Strait of Hormuz: A Looming Threat to Already High Fertilizer Costs - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24073-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-a-looming-threat-to-already-high-fertilizer-costs.md) | +0.7% | +10.9% |
| DAP | 2026-07-24 | [WTO data confirms Strait of Hormuz fertilizer trade disruption is easing as urea nears pre-war price — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18655-wto-data-confirms-strait-of-hormuz-fertilizer-trade-disruption-is-easing-as.md) | +0.6% | +2.2% |

## Sources

- rfdtv.com: https://www.rfdtv.com/strait-of-hormuz-closure-nears-10-week-mark-keeping-fertilizer-markets-tight-worldwide

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.