# Wheat in 2026/27: world production of 827.5 million tonnes and trade revised down

> USDA's Wheat Outlook published on 13 November raised its 2026/27 world wheat production estimate to 827.5 million tonnes, 5.1 million above the October forecast. World wheat export forecast was cut by 0.8 million tonnes to 209.2 million tonnes due to Black Sea shipping disruptions.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T21:15:45.315Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101836-wheat-in-2026-27-world-production-of-827-5-million-tonnes-and-trade-revised-down
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Higher supplies from Argentina and Australia offset some tightness, but Black Sea logistics problems limit export availability from Russia and Ukraine, which can support wheat prices and feed grain costs for importers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral
- KWHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-22 | [Wheat production, trade rising: IGC - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55997-wheat-production-trade-rising-igc-grain-central.md) | +1.6% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2020-11-06 | [India’s rice production on the rise \| 2020-11-06  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50116-india-s-rice-production-on-the-rise-2020-11-06-world-grain.md) | +0.0% | -6.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-30 | [India’s grain production remains strong \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29226-india-s-grain-production-remains-strong-world-grain.md) | +4.9% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-01 | [Global wheat and maize production overview: Grain Market Daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50579-global-wheat-and-maize-production-overview-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +2.1% | +3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-14 | [IBGE forecasts harvest of 311.0 million tonnes for 2025, rise of 5.8% over 2024 \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13534-ibge-forecasts-harvest-of-311-0-million-tonnes-for-2025-rise-of-5-8-over-2024.md) | -0.5% | +0.2% |
| KWHEAT | 2024-01-12 | [W1 Wheat Update: EU Soft Wheat Production Forecast Drops for 204/25 Season; India Projects Record Wheat Production of 114 MMT for 2023/24 MY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32061-w1-wheat-update-eu-soft-wheat-production-forecast-drops-for-204-25-season-india.md) | -1.3% | -2.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-02-22 | [Early Estimates Expect 2018/19 Wheat Production to Fall in the Black Sea - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66432-early-estimates-expect-2018-19-wheat-production-to-fall-in-the-black-sea-u-s.md) | +9.1% | -0.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-04-12 | [The USDA raised its consumption forecast and lowered its estimate of wheat stocks, but prices continued to fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36464-the-usda-raised-its-consumption-forecast-and-lowered-its-estimate-of-wheat.md) | +1.5% | +4.4% |

## Sources

- agronet.ro: https://agronet.ro/stiri/agribusiness-piata/productia-mondiala-grau-2026-creste

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.