# IBGE forecasts 2.6% drop in Brazil's 2027 grain harvest

> Brazil's statistics agency IBGE forecasts grain output will fall 2.6% in 2027, from 355.8 million to 346.6 million tonnes, a drop of 9.2 million tonnes after an estimated record 2026 crop. Corn accounts for most of the decline, with 8.1 million tonnes less, while harvested area stays nearly flat at 83.2 million hectares, implying lower yields.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T21:12:33.659Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101814-ibge-forecasts-2-6-drop-in-brazil-s-2027-grain-harvest
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Brazilian corn crop in 2027 would tighten export availability and support corn prices, and it adds to feed-cost pressure for buyers reliant on Brazilian supply. The forecast cites a possible strong El Niño and higher input costs as risks.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-03-13 | [India forecast to harvest record rice crop \| 2019-03-13  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60050-india-forecast-to-harvest-record-rice-crop-2019-03-13-world-grain.md) | +4.3% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2023-07-19 | [Safras & Mercado Forecasts Brazil Soy to Increase 4.5% in 2023/24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13640-safras-and-mercado-forecasts-brazil-soy-to-increase-4-5-in-2023-24.md) | +13.6% | -6.1% |
| CORN | 2022-09-29 | [COCERAL lowers forecast for EU grain harvest \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39524-coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-miller-magazine.md) | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2020-10-14 | [French harvest forecasts revised downwards - Inside Grains & Raw Material \| Boerenbusiness. Nl](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50575-french-harvest-forecasts-revised-downwards-inside-grains-and-raw-material.md) | +2.8% | +6.2% |
| CORN | 2026-06-11 | [COCERAL advanced the forecast for the wheat harvest in the EU and UK in 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18757-coceral-advanced-the-forecast-for-the-wheat-harvest-in-the-eu-and-uk-in-2026.md) | +0.4% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- gynnoticias.com.br: https://www.gynnoticias.com.br/brasil/ibge-preve-queda-de-26-na-safra-de-graos-do-brasil-em-2027/5780

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.