# Rice Futures at Over 8-Month High

> Rice futures traded near $11.8 per hundredweight, the highest since August 2025, as supply risks grew. Farmers across Asia are reducing plantings due to fertilizer shortages and higher fuel costs linked to the Iran war, and El Niño is expected to bring hotter, drier conditions in the second half of the year.

- Date: 2026-05-05 · published 2026-05-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/10151-rice-futures-at-over-8-month-high
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Lower planted area and likely drought-driven yield losses in Asia tighten rice supply expectations, supporting prices, though record Indian stocks limit the upside. Rice is a minor feed input, so the link to feed costs is indirect.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-05-06 | 5 | +12.1% | 3.5 | Rice futures hit an 8-month high near $11.8/cwt on Asian acreage cuts from fertilizer and fuel shortages plus El Niño risk, directly describing the rally's supply-risk driver. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-06-30 | [Rice Hits 12-month High](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18866-rice-hits-12-month-high.md) | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| RICE | 2017-08-28 | [Rice Futures Hit 22-Month High As Uncle Ben Says ‘I Told You So’ – Heisenberg Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69526-rice-futures-hit-22-month-high-as-uncle-ben-says-i-told-you-so-heisenberg-report.md) | +2.2% | -3.0% |
| RICE | 2024-05-21 | [Thai rice prices hit 2-month high on demand surge from Brazil, Mexico](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30327-thai-rice-prices-hit-2-month-high-on-demand-surge-from-brazil-mexico.md) | -4.0% | -3.7% |
| RICE | 2020-03-12 | [Asia Rice-Thai drought raises supply jitters, Vietnam rates at over 1-yr high](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7548-asia-rice-thai-drought-raises-supply-jitters-vietnam-rates-at-over-1-yr-high.md) | +10.1% | +10.3% |
| RICE | 2026-07-24 | [Rice rates hit 10-month high as weather concerns grip major hubs - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18426-rice-rates-hit-10-month-high-as-weather-concerns-grip-major-hubs-the.md) | -2.6% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- tradingeconomics.com: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/rice/news/547964

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.