# Inside the 2026 El Niño: Why extreme weather is spiking global heat and grocery bills

> Copernicus says 2026 is on track to be the second-hottest year on record, with an exceptionally strong El Niño adding heat. Peru declared a state of emergency across much of the country over El Niño-linked flooding, and drought is affecting parts of Asia.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T15:20:34.805Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101475-inside-the-2026-el-nino-why-extreme-weather-is-spiking-global-heat-and-grocery
- Commodities: [Fishmeal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FISHMEAL.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

El Niño-driven floods and droughts in Peru and Asia threaten fishing, feed and grain output, which tightens supply for feed buyers and supports prices. The impact depends on how long the event lasts.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- FISHMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-01-10 | [What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37701-what-is-el-nino-and-how-does-it-affect-the-weather-and-temperatures.md) | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| RICE | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | -1.4% | +6.9% |
| RICE | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | -2.0% | +18.1% |
| RICE | 2023-03-14 | [Two global weather bodies declare El Nino ‘watch’ - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36759-two-global-weather-bodies-declare-el-nino-watch-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +5.8% | +3.7% |
| RICE | 2023-09-01 | [Global El Niño forecasts predict a Very Strong event for 2023/24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34476-global-el-nino-forecasts-predict-a-very-strong-event-for-2023-24.md) | -4.1% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2024-05-01 | [What is La Nina and how will it impact weather in 2024? \| Vox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30154-what-is-la-nina-and-how-will-it-impact-weather-in-2024-vox.md) | +2.6% | +7.2% |

## Sources

- iol.co.za: https://iol.co.za/news/world/2026-11-15-inside-the-2026-el-nio-why-extreme-weather-is-spiking-global-heat-and-grocery-bills/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.