# Pork is down to 4 yuan a jin, this time the turnaround is really coming

> Live hog prices have fallen from 11.23 yuan/kg in July to 8.98 yuan/kg, near a 20-year low, while leading pork stocks such as Muyuan rose about 36% over the same period. Analysts say sow herd reductions, down 10.7% year on year in Q3 to 36.02 million head, signal the cycle is turning.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-15T13:36:58.157Z
- Category: market · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101333-pork-is-down-to-4-yuan-a-jin-this-time-the-turnaround-is-really-coming
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [DDGS](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DDGS.md)

## Why it matters

Lower hog prices with a shrinking breeding herd point to reduced pork output about ten months later, which would support demand for feed ingredients such as soymeal, corn and DDGS. Producers' losses and cash-flow strain may accelerate capacity exit.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- DDGS: neutral

## Sources

- m.guruhk.com: https://m.guruhk.com/p/7427247

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.