# MT has second-driest start to harvest season in 27 years

> Mato Grosso recorded 186 mm of rain between September 1 and October 27, 33% below the historical average of 276 mm and the second-lowest figure in a 27-year series, behind 2024. Between September 28 and October 27, rainfall was 34% below normal. Satellite data show 66% of the state received at least 25% less rain than average, and 22 of 23 municipalities assessed were below standard.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-15T12:26:40.299Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101317-mt-has-second-driest-start-to-harvest-season-in-27-years
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Mato Grosso is Brazil's top soybean producer, so widespread rainfall deficits raise the risk of yield losses that would tighten global soybean supply. Dryness that could reduce output is supportive for soybean and soybean meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-10-29 | [Crop farmers tested this year as harvest season lingers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13046-crop-farmers-tested-this-year-as-harvest-season-lingers.md) | +2.8% | +4.3% |
| SOY | 2019-11-01 | [Harvest Slogs Onward as Farmers Start to Prepare for 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55890-harvest-slogs-onward-as-farmers-start-to-prepare-for-2020.md) | +0.9% | -4.4% |
| SOY | 2021-01-26 | [Dry Crop Season in South America to Continue](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48975-dry-crop-season-in-south-america-to-continue.md) | +1.6% | +4.7% |
| SOY | 2021-01-27 | [A wet start to South American soybean harvest - McKeany-Flavell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48977-a-wet-start-to-south-american-soybean-harvest-mckeany-flavell.md) | -1.1% | +3.9% |
| SOY | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| SBM | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.9% | -6.4% |
| SBM | 2023-08-04 | [Quality worries in Europe as rain stalls harvest: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34521-quality-worries-in-europe-as-rain-stalls-harvest-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| SBM | 2023-09-01 | [After India's Driest August In Over 100 Years, More Grain Export Curbs Likely](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34049-after-india-s-driest-august-in-over-100-years-more-grain-export-curbs-likely.md) | -3.5% | -5.8% |

## Sources

- mtdiario.com.br: https://mtdiario.com.br/mt-tem-segundo-inicio-de-safra-mais-seco-em-27-anos/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.