# World cereal production near one of its highest levels

> The FAO's November 6 bulletin puts 2026 world cereal output at 2.999 billion tonnes, the second-highest on record and slightly below the 2025 peak. Rice output is down 2.5% on El Niño and weak margins, while world cereal trade is forecast to shrink 3.3% to 507.7 million tonnes, with wheat trade down 8.6% and maize trade up 2.2%.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T12:17:25.597Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101171-world-cereal-production-near-one-of-its-highest-levels
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower rice output and a shrinking wheat trade tighten supply for importers, while rising stocks cap prices, so the net effect is mixed across grains.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2021-07-22 | [India’s grain production to reach new record highs  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46030-india-s-grain-production-to-reach-new-record-highs-world-grain.md) | +2.6% | -0.2% |
| RICE | 2026-06-05 | [FAO Cereal Price Index rises in May \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18850-fao-cereal-price-index-rises-in-may-world-grain.md) | -1.5% | +3.4% |
| RICE | 2017-11-30 | [U.S. rice prices soar amid sharply lower production \| World-grain.com \| November 30, 2017 21:36 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68055-u-s-rice-prices-soar-amid-sharply-lower-production-world-grain-com-november-30.md) | -1.5% | -5.8% |
| RICE | 2024-01-05 | [World food price index ends 2023 some 10% below 2022 levels](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6744-world-food-price-index-ends-2023-some-10-below-2022-levels.md) | +1.4% | +8.9% |
| RICE | 2020-12-03 | [World food price index jumps in November to almost six-year high - FAO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5276-world-food-price-index-jumps-in-november-to-almost-six-year-high-fao.md) | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-13 | [France produced almost one quarter of cereals in the EU - Products Eurostat News - Eurostat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71441-france-produced-almost-one-quarter-of-cereals-in-the-eu-products-eurostat-news.md) | -1.5% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-30 | [India’s grain production remains strong \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29226-india-s-grain-production-remains-strong-world-grain.md) | +4.9% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2020-11-06 | [India’s rice production on the rise \| 2020-11-06  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50116-india-s-rice-production-on-the-rise-2020-11-06-world-grain.md) | +0.0% | -6.3% |

## Sources

- action-agricole-picarde.com: https://www.action-agricole-picarde.com/la-production-mondiale-de-cereales-atteint-lun-de-ses-plus-hauts-niveaux

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.