# El Niño reaches top of NOAA's strength scale. Forecast updates

> NOAA has classified the current El Niño as a "very strong" event. Forecasts indicate it will bring more heat and extreme weather well into 2027, with a higher risk of extreme heat, drought and heavy rainfall.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T12:16:32.960Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101165-el-nino-reaches-top-of-noaa-s-strength-scale-forecast-updates
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A very strong El Niño raises the risk of drought in key grain and oilseed origins and lowers yields in Asian palm and rice output, which tends to support prices for feed ingredients over the coming seasons.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-08-30 | [From rice to palm oil, Asian crops output forecast lower as El Nino strengthens](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34470-from-rice-to-palm-oil-asian-crops-output-forecast-lower-as-el-nino-strengthens.md) | -0.0% | -8.2% |
| CORN | 2019-08-09 | [August 2019 El Niño Update-Stick a Fork in it - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57499-august-2019-el-nino-update-stick-a-fork-in-it-proag.md) | -7.7% | -8.0% |
| CORN | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2023-10-30 | [El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33546-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-nasa-science.md) | -3.3% | -6.3% |
| CORN | 2024-04-24 | [NASA SVS \| El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30653-nasa-svs-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity.md) | -0.5% | +3.3% |
| SOY | 2019-08-09 | [August 2019 El Niño Update-Stick a Fork in it - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57499-august-2019-el-nino-update-stick-a-fork-in-it-proag.md) | -0.8% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2023-10-30 | [El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33546-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-nasa-science.md) | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| SOY | 2025-06-19 | [Five tips for making the most of El Niño and La Niña forecasts \| CRUCIAL](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24122-five-tips-for-making-the-most-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-forecasts-crucial.md) | -4.8% | -4.4% |

## Sources

- usatoday.com: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2026/11/15/el-nino-peak-forecast/92739777007/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.