# Reaping what they sow: The "grain war" between Russia and Ukraine is once again threatening global food security

> Russian and Ukrainian forces have been conducting campaigns against each other's shipping in the Sea of Azov and Black Sea since summer, with attacks moving in October into the corridor off Romania and Bulgaria. Systematic strikes on merchant ships and port infrastructure have effectively halted agricultural exports from both countries.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T12:14:49.325Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101154-reaping-what-they-sow-the-grain-war-between-russia-and-ukraine-is-once-again
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

With Black Sea grain and oilseed flows largely halted, global wheat, corn and sunflower-product supplies tighten, supporting prices for feed grains and meals while shipping risk premiums rise.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-17 | [Russia-Ukraine grain deal: What does it mean for global food prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35104-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-what-does-it-mean-for-global-food-prices.md) | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-31 | [EXCLUSIVE: Russian grain lobby says Kyiv's attacks threaten Black Sea exports, global food security \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14097-exclusive-russian-grain-lobby-says-kyiv-s-attacks-threaten-black-sea-exports.md) | -1.0% | +5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-11 | [Overcoming the threats to global food systems from Russia's invasion of Ukraine \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11340-overcoming-the-threats-to-global-food-systems-from-russia-s-invasion-of-ukraine.md) | -1.0% | +6.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-13 | [Black Sea maritime war: how Ukraine is transferring the costs of maritime insecurity to Russia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14116-black-sea-maritime-war-how-ukraine-is-transferring-the-costs-of-maritime.md) | +0.9% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-21 | [The Black Sea Grain Deal: Fragile Cooperation Between Ukraine and Russia \| Lawfare](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14403-the-black-sea-grain-deal-fragile-cooperation-between-ukraine-and-russia-lawfare.md) | -8.6% | -9.9% |
| CORN | 2023-07-17 | [Russia-Ukraine grain deal: What does it mean for global food prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35104-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-what-does-it-mean-for-global-food-prices.md) | -8.6% | -12.6% |
| CORN | 2022-03-11 | [Overcoming the threats to global food systems from Russia's invasion of Ukraine \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11340-overcoming-the-threats-to-global-food-systems-from-russia-s-invasion-of-ukraine.md) | +2.7% | +9.8% |
| CORN | 2023-03-27 | [Regional war, global consequences: Mounting damages to Ukraine’s agriculture and growing challenges for global food security \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14411-regional-war-global-consequences-mounting-damages-to-ukraine-s-agriculture-and.md) | +1.6% | -0.0% |

## Sources

- theins.press: https://theins.press/en/politics/299605

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.