# Weather for the second half of November: irregular rain in focus

> INMET's outlook for the second half of November points to uneven rainfall across Brazil. Above-average rain is expected in parts of the South, Mato Grosso do Sul and São Paulo, while the Center-West, North and Northeast may see irregular or below-average rain.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T12:14:23.721Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101150-weather-for-the-second-half-of-november-irregular-rain-in-focus
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Uneven rainfall during early soybean and corn establishment raises the risk of replanting and yield variability in Brazil, which can support soybean and corn prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -3.9% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2024-05-09 | [El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30149-el-nino-to-end-by-june-la-nina-seen-in-second-half-of-2024-says-u-s-forecaster.md) | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| SOY | 2026-11-09 | [Center-West faces irregular rain during soybean planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/90194-center-west-faces-irregular-rain-during-soybean-planting.md) | +3.5% | — |
| SOY | 2021-06-21 | [Hot, dry weather stresses crops in heart of the Corn Belt and Northern Plains - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46417-hot-dry-weather-stresses-crops-in-heart-of-the-corn-belt-and-northern-plains.md) | -4.7% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -2.6% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2022-03-24 | [Mixed Weather Conditions for Second-Crop Corn in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13733-mixed-weather-conditions-for-second-crop-corn-in-brazil.md) | +1.8% | +8.1% |
| CORN | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.4% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- farmnews.com.br: https://www.farmnews.com.br/clima/clima-na-segunda-metade-de-novembro-chuva-irregular-em-foco/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.