# Urea and DAP Stock for Wheat in Pakistan, Rabi 2026-27: Urea Falls Below the Buffer From December

> Pakistan's National Fertilizer Development Centre projects urea stock falling to 212,000 tonnes by end-December, below the 300,000-tonne safety buffer, and staying below it until March. December urea demand is expected at 974,000 tonnes, the peak of the Rabi season, with no imports planned.

- Date: 2026-11-15 · published 2026-11-15T12:13:14.676Z
- Category: report · region Pakistan · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/101139-urea-and-dap-stock-for-wheat-in-pakistan-rabi-2026-27-urea-falls-below-the
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

A projected urea shortfall in Pakistan's peak wheat season could force emergency purchases and support regional urea prices. Buyers should secure supply before December.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: neutral
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-02-02 | [Fertilizer Prices Ease to Start the Year, but Urea and Trade Risks Remain in Focus - RFD-TV](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5724-fertilizer-prices-ease-to-start-the-year-but-urea-and-trade-risks-remain-in.md) | +10.1% | +28.6% |
| UREA | 2026-02-04 | [Fertilizers: Weekly Increases and Prices Between 6% and 14% Above December 2025 – Dezba Inspection](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5723-fertilizers-weekly-increases-and-prices-between-6-and-14-above-december-2025.md) | +0.9% | +27.0% |
| UREA | 2025-11-30 | [Fertilizer sales in Nov 1-21 up 6%, Urea stocks improve from Oct’25 level - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4471-fertilizer-sales-in-nov-1-21-up-6-urea-stocks-improve-from-oct-25-level-the.md) | -7.2% | +1.3% |
| UREA | 2022-02-01 | [Fertilizer Buying Slows Seasonally in December, but Wholesale Prices Expected to Continue Climbing in 2022](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43443-fertilizer-buying-slows-seasonally-in-december-but-wholesale-prices-expected-to.md) | -11.5% | +4.3% |
| UREA | 2026-10-28 | [WORLD BANK SAYS FERTILIZER PRICES SET TO RISE 14% IN 2026 DUE TO SURGE IN UREA PRICES, RETURNING TO 2025 LEVELS IN 2027 - CGTN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/297-world-bank-says-fertilizer-prices-set-to-rise-14-in-2026-due-to-surge-in-urea.md) | -1.3% | — |
| DAP | 2023-03-15 | [IFA: global MAP and DAP output still below 2020 after a multi-year decline \| Sulfur Wire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37195-ifa-global-map-and-dap-output-still-below-2020-after-a-multi-year-decline.md) | +1.7% | +4.2% |
| DAP | 2025-11-30 | [Fertilizer sales in Nov 1-21 up 6%, Urea stocks improve from Oct’25 level - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4471-fertilizer-sales-in-nov-1-21-up-6-urea-stocks-improve-from-oct-25-level-the.md) | -2.7% | -4.9% |
| DAP | 2022-09-27 | [Fertilizer Prices, Rates, and Costs for 2023 - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11906-fertilizer-prices-rates-and-costs-for-2023-farmdoc-daily.md) | -2.6% | -2.2% |

## Sources

- pakera.pk: https://pakera.pk/urea-dap-stock-rabi-2026-27-month-by-month-nfdc-pakistan/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.